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March 12, 2012


Senate picture: Two Jewish Senators will be leaving the Senate in 2012, but some Jewish candidates may compensate for this loss if they win close races in Hawaii and Ohio. Rosner’s Projection: -1. Meaning 12 Jewish Senators instead of 13 Jewish Senators serving today.

Senate Incumbents: Running in 2012: Bottom Line: -2

Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) Ranking Polls & News
Cook Report Solid D
Pollster.com http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/03/12/fav-boxer_n_724802.html
RealClearPolitics Likely D
PPP http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/barbara-boxer/
NYT Ranking Solid D http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/senate
ElectionProjection.com Dem hold http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/statepages/ca12.php
TPM Poll Tracker Feinstein ahead http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contest/2012-ca-sen

Ben Cardin (D-MD) Ranking Polls & News
Cook Report Solid D
Pollster.com
RealClearPolitics Safe D
PPP http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/maryland/
NYT Ranking Solid D
ElectionProjection.com Dem hold http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/statepages/md12.php
TPM Poll Tracker

Bernie Sanders (I-VT) Ranking Polls & News
Cook Report Solid D
Pollster.com http://www.pollster.com/polls/vt/
RealClearPolitics Safe Sanders
PPP http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/vermont/
NYT Ranking Solid D
ElectionProjection.com
TPM Poll Tracker Sanders leading http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contest/2012-vt-sen

No Race:
Carl Levin (D-Michigan). No race in 2012

Richard Blumenthal (D-CT). No race in 2012.

Chuck Schumer (D-NY). No race in 2012.

Michael Bennet (D-CO). No race in 2012.

Barbara Boxer (D-CA). No race in 2012.

Al Franken (D-MN). No race in 2012.

Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ). No race in 2012.

Ron Wyden (D-OR). No race in 2012.

Retiring:
Herb Kohl (D-WI). Not running in 2012. (-1)

Joe Lieberman (I-CT). Not running in 2012. (-1)

Senate Candidates: Bottom Line: Maximum possible +2

Note: Most projections refer to the 2012 race, and not to the primary vote. Not all candidates mentioned here would not be the ultimate candidates of their parties.

Linda Lingle (R-HI) Ranking Polls & News
Cook Report Toss up
Pollster.com
RealClearPolitics Likely D http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_hawaii_senate_race.html
PPP http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/hawaii/
NYT Ranking Toss up http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/senate
ElectionProjection.com http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/statepages/hi12.php
TPM Poll Tracker Lingle leading (primary) http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contest/2012-hi-sen-r

Adam Hasner (R-FL) Projection Polls & News
Cook Report Lean D
Pollster.com http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/02/05/fav-nelson_n_726027.html
RealClearPolitics Toss up http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/florida_senate_race.html
PPP http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/florida/
NYT Ranking Leaning D http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/senate
ElectionProjection.com Dem hold http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/statepages/fl12.php
TPM Poll Tracker Hasner far behind (primary) http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contest/2012-fl-sen-r

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