fbpx
Sunday, September 20, 2020

Netanyahu on Trial? The Public Doesn’t Care

Four quick notes on Israeli politics.

Four quick notes on Israeli politics:

1. A survey taken by pollster Menachem Lazar revealed that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his Likud party are still supported by the same number of people today as a month ago. Despite Netanyahu’s trial where he is facing bribery charges, voters did not change their minds during the first day of Netanyahu’s trial on May 24. He is still in a commanding position with 41 projected seats.  The second largest party is 26 seats behind.

2. The one losing voters, as expected, is Blue and White’s Benny Gantz. As a junior partner in the Netanyahu government there is little he can do to attract voters. Those supporting the government’s policies can vote for Netanyahu. Those who oppose those policies move leftward to Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid (the poll average shows Lapid still with less seats than Gantz, but in the new polls he has two more seats).

3. Note the opposition and see why it is not an effective opposition.

The Arab Party is the largest in the bloc. It could potentially cooperate with Lapid on some issues, but less so with Lieberman’s Israel Beiteinu, and not at all with right wing Yamina.

Lapid and Lieberman are the real opposition. Their combined strength is a meager 17 seats, and in the last poll it was 20 seats. You cannot surprise and defeat a coalition of 70 with such number.

Yamina is a fluke. Because of ego, personal animosity and miscalculation, this party is not part of the coalition. But the voters who support it want Netanyahu as prime minister and probably want the current coalition to survive unless they become convinced that a right wing-religious coalition can be revived (of which their party will be a member).

So, there is no effective opposition for now. If the new coalition faces trouble, it will be because of internal dynamics, not because of external pressures.

4. It is not always easy to judge what the Israeli public thinks about the annexation plan in Judea and Samaria. Firstly, because the exact plan is still a mystery (for a detailed, dispassionate discussion about annexation, listen to my conversation with Brig. General Mike Herzog).  Without information, it is difficult to formulate a firm position. In one January poll, about a third of the public said they have no opinion on this matter. In a survey from last month, about a quarter said they have no opinion. In January, about a third supported annexation. But another survey in the same month, showed that more than half the public supports annexation. In April, again, more than half (of the Jews, but less  Arabs), supported annexation.

In many cases, the key is in the framing of the question. Having looked at all the polls regarding annexation from the last year, I was left with little room for doubt: there is a Jewish majority for annexation. It is likely to grow if and when it becomes clear that Israel has U.S. support for annexation.

 

 

 

Did you enjoy this article?

You'll love our roundtable.


By submitting this form, you are consenting to receive marketing emails from: Jewish Journal, 3250 Wilshire Boulevard, Los Angeles, CA, 90010, http://www.jewishjournal.com. You can revoke your consent to receive emails at any time by using the SafeUnsubscribe® link, found at the bottom of every email. Emails are serviced by Constant Contact

Enjoyed this article?

You'll love our roundtable.


By submitting this form, you are consenting to receive marketing emails from: Jewish Journal, 3250 Wilshire Boulevard, Los Angeles, CA, 90010, http://www.jewishjournal.com. You can revoke your consent to receive emails at any time by using the SafeUnsubscribe® link, found at the bottom of every email. Emails are serviced by Constant Contact

Latest Articles

What Does Leading With Heart Look Like in Modern Life?

This Rosh Hashanah, consider how you can cultivate the four pillars of heart-centered leadership.

A Moment in Time: 5781 Can’t Come Soon Enough

Dear all, As we approach the Jewish New Year of 5781, I think we can safely say that 5780 came with incredible challenges. I can’t...

Remembering the Life and Work of the Woman who Championed Women’s Rights: Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg

"Our Nation has lost a jurist of historic stature. We at the Supreme Court have lost a cherished colleague.”

Ruth Bader Ginsburg Dies At 87

She died from complications of metastatic pancreatic cancer.

3 Holocaust Monuments Vandalized With Swastikas in Ukraine and Russia

Police are investigating the instances of vandalism.

Letters: 9/11 Commemoration, Spots and Activism, UAE

9/11 Commemoration “Grow, grow, grow,” we imagine angels whispering to every blade of grass. How much more so to every human soul. That kind of...

Kosovo to Adopt IHRA Definition of Anti-Semitism

“As a victim of genocidal actions & ethnic cleansing, [Kosovo] understands too well the weight of discrimination & hate.”

86 Jewish Groups Contest Leila Khaled’s SFSU Speaking Event

The groups sent a letter to the SFSU president asking if Khaled is legitimately protected under academic freedom.

Culture

‘A Wilderness of Error’ Revisits Infamous Jeffrey MacDonald Murder Case

As recounted in journalist Joe McGinniss’ 1983 book and the subsequent miniseries “Fatal Vision,” MacDonald was convicted of the murders, but was he guilty?

‘The Get’ to Tell Story of Notorious Chasidic Rabbi

The show is based off a GQ article.

Novel’s Russian Jews Find Rough Going in Israel

The setting of “Jerusalem as a Second Language,” a new novel by Rochelle Distelheim (Aubade Publishing), harks back to a remarkable moment in history.

Personalizing Home Ritual With ‘HighHolidaysAtHome’

The team has developed guides and webinars. They're providing steps to invoke various aspects of the holidays as well as family memories. 

Apples of Hope for Rosh Hashanah

As a new year begins, we remember the hard times of recent months but also look forward to the future with a promise of new beginnings.

Latest Articles
Latest

What Does Leading With Heart Look Like in Modern Life?

This Rosh Hashanah, consider how you can cultivate the four pillars of heart-centered leadership.

A Moment in Time: 5781 Can’t Come Soon Enough

Dear all, As we approach the Jewish New Year of 5781, I think we can safely say that 5780 came with incredible challenges. I can’t...

Remembering the Life and Work of the Woman who Championed Women’s Rights: Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg

"Our Nation has lost a jurist of historic stature. We at the Supreme Court have lost a cherished colleague.”

Ruth Bader Ginsburg Dies At 87

She died from complications of metastatic pancreatic cancer.

Hollywood

‘Dirty Dancing’ Sequel Starring Jennifer Grey Announced

It’s official: A “Dirty Dancing” sequel is coming, and it’s starring Jewish actress Jennifer Grey, who played Frances “Baby” Houseman in the 1987 original.

Roy Moore’s Lawsuit Against Sacha Baron Cohen Over Being Pranked Can Proceed, Judge Rules

By the time the episode aired, it was widely known that Cohen was punking public figures.

Podcasts

A Rosh HaSchitt’s Creek Sameach to You!

How long has this pandemic been? This week we're giving a big Shofar Wave to 5780 as it exits the building, reviewing some Jewy...

Pandemic Times Episode 88: Words of Light for Rosh Hashanah

New David Suissa Podcast Every Monday and Friday. Excerpts of inspiring messages from community leaders. How do we manage our lives during the coronavirus crisis? How...

More news and opinions than at a Shabbat dinner, right in your inbox.


By submitting this form, you are consenting to receive marketing emails from: Jewish Journal, 3250 Wilshire Boulevard, Los Angeles, CA, 90010, http://www.jewishjournal.com. You can revoke your consent to receive emails at any time by using the SafeUnsubscribe® link, found at the bottom of every email. Emails are serviced by Constant Contact

x