June 27, 2019

Election Handbook Update: Jewish Home Crash

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu sits next to Education Minister Naftali Bennett during the weekly Cabinet meeting at his office in Jerusalem, Israel, Aug. 30, 2016. (photo by REUTERS/Abir Sultan)

We have no choice but to update yesterday’s post: Split on the Right. That is, because we now have five new polls that include The New Right – the new party established by ministers Naftali Bennett and Ayelet Shaked. Note that these polls have a wide range of results. The new party gets from six seats to 14 seats according to these polls.

Note that when we look at the blocs, the change from before The New Right (look at the average of all polls) and after The New Right (look at the average of the last five polls) is insignificant. In other words: this political move matter greatly to the people and parties involved (The Jewish Home is eliminated in some of the new polls — if that happens, that’s the end of a very long political tradition). It might not matter much when it comes to the bottom line (a coalition of the right plus at least one centrist party).