House Projection Updates….

A.

Our projection changes from -6 to -7 – namely, seven Jewish legislators less in the 2013 House than in the 2011 House. Here are updates on some races that are worthy of frequent traction.

B.

David Cicilline (RI) rebounds, now leads Doherty by 6 points.

C.

The NJ Jewish News reports that Rabbi Shmuly Boteach's race is considered “competitive” by “some”, but provides evidence to the contrary:

…the newly drawn Ninth District, where eight-term Rep. Bill Pascrell is facing a financially well-endowed challenger, Rabbi Shmuley Boteach. In August, casino operator Sheldon Adelson and his wife, Miriam — top fund-raisers for Republicans — gave Boteach’s campaign $500,000. The rabbi “has obviously been able to raise enough money to make noise,” Dworkin told NJJN. “Without the money, Boteach wouldn’t have a chance at all,” said Weingart. “But two years ago, when everything was tilted toward Republicans, I would think he would have had more of a chance than he does now.” Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, agreed. “Bergen County is your original suburb if there ever was one, and the chances of buying an election there by bombarding people with ads are, if not zero, damn close to it,” he said.

D.

Brad Schneider is still in a toss-up state, with no polls to report. This is probably going to be the most competitive Jewish race to watch.

E.

RCP still has the Bishop-Altschuler NY-01 race in the “leans Democratic” column. But the Altschuler camp says that recent financial support made the race more competitive:

“They’ve made it more competitive,” said Diana Weir, Mr. Altschuler’s campaign manager. “And I think as the race gets more competitive and they see a tighter race, everyone’s going to want to come in.”