fbpx

October 10, 2012

Comparing animal rights and the Holocaust

On Oct. 2, Alex Hershaft, a Holocaust survivor and founder of the nonprofit Farm Animal Rights Movement (FARM), sat on the ground with some 100 other protesters in front of the Farmer John pig slaughterhouse in Vernon, Calif., blocking the entrance from two bi-level trucks carrying 200 pigs that had arrived to be slaughtered that day. In the next 24 hours, the pigs would be among 6,000 animals that would be stunned by electrical shock, hoisted up by their hind legs and their necks slit in the plant, which is the largest pig slaughterhouse on the West Coast. 

The demonstration was just one of more than 100 such protests held across the United States and in other countries commemorating FARM’s annual World Farm Animals Day.

“You could hear the pigs on the trucks crying,” Hershaft, 78, said quietly in a phone interview from his Bethesda, Md., home several days later. “Despite my advanced age, I made the trip to Vernon and risked arrest, because, as a Holocaust survivor, I am honor-bound to call public attention to this ongoing tragedy.”

As a 5-year-old in the Warsaw Ghetto, Hershaft witnessed brutal beatings and shootings and saw Jews dying of typhus in the streets. After being smuggled out of the ghetto by a family maid, he survived the war by passing as an Aryan. Upon liberation, he learned that his father had died following internment in a German slave labor camp, and that most of his other relatives had also perished.

Eventually, Hershaft earned a doctorate in chemistry at Iowa State University and, while teaching at the Technion in Haifa in the early 1960s, he witnessed a Druze family celebrating the birth of a baby by ritually sacrificing a baby goat. “I saw the irony of killing one child to celebrate the birth of another,” said Hershaft, who in 1961 decided to become vegetarian. “I just couldn’t bear the thought of taking a beautiful, living, breathing being and hitting him over the head, cutting his body into pieces and then shoving them in my face.”

He began to see parallels between the Nazi Holocaust and animal slaughter, including “the crowding, cattle cars, brutality and the routine and efficiency of mass extermination,” he said. “I am not equating the Holocaust with the millions of animals slaughtered every week for U.S. dinner tables, for we differ in many ways,” he added. “Yet, we all share a love of life and our ability to experience many emotions, including affection, joy, sadness and fear.”

Hershaft, who is now vegan, became an animal-rights activist after attending the World Vegetarian Congress in 1975, and in 1981 he founded FARM, which along with groups like People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals (PETA) has became a force in the struggle for improved treatment of farm animals and vegan advocacy. 

Today, Hershaft said, FARM has an annual budget of $250,000, as well as 85,000 subscribers to its newsletters. Hershaft said tens of thousands of volunteers participate in FARM’s grassroots activities, including The Great American Meatout, Gentle Thanksgiving and a new 10 Billion Lives project, which encourages veganism. 

On the phone, Hershaft recalled how Farmer John’s bucolic mural of pigs cavorting in a meadow reminded him of the deceptive sign, “Work Makes You Free,” above the gates of Auschwitz. “I echo the wisdom of famed Yiddish writer Isaac Bashevis Singer: ‘For the animals, life is an eternal Treblinka,’ ” he said.

For more information about FARM, visit farmusa.org.

Comparing animal rights and the Holocaust Read More »

Eilat shooting raises questions about recruitment for Israel programs

The recent shooting of an Israeli hotel employee by an American Jewish intern is raising questions about how Israel internship programs for Diaspora Jews recruit and screen applicants.

The assailant, William Herskowitz, was killed by police following a brief standoff last Friday shortly after the fatal shooting, in which he reportedly used the firearm of a hotel security guard to kill 33-year-old Armando Abed in the dining room of the Leonardo Club Hotel in the southern Israeli resort city of Eilat.

Herskowitz had been enrolled in Oranim’s Eilat Hotel Experience, an internship program for American Jews interested in the hospitality industry. He had worked in several positions at the hotel and took a course in hotel management. Oranim is a tour provider that offers long- and short-term Israel programs to young adults.

According to Oranim, Herskowitz had lost his job a day earlier for lack of discipline.

To get into the program, according to current and past Oranim employees, Herskowitz had to fill out an online form, pass a two-part phone interview with Oranim recruiters and send in a medical history form.

Past recruiters at Oranim and other long-term internship programs in Israel noted the difficulty of gauging the personalities of potential participants from across the ocean.

“On one hand you can have a phone conversation with someone and they sound fine, handle themselves well,” said a former Oranim recruiter who asked to remain anonymous. “You can have a doctor sign off on this form and not report certain medical disorders, and how would you know? People can seem completely normal on the phone or Skype, and then things surface once they get to Israel.”

Oranim's spokesman, Yuval Arad, said that Herskowitz had a clean medical record and no criminal history. While Oranim's online application included a resume, Oranim did not ask Herskowitz for references or a personal essay on why he chose the program — safeguards required by similar programs.

A recruiter for the WUJS Intern Tel Aviv program, which like Oranim combines work with Hebrew study and travel, said her program requires a personal essay and a video interview — and references, if deemed necessary — in order to ensure that recruiters know which applicants to watch closely, even after they arrive on the program.

“It is possible for people to fall through the cracks, but if you work for a program you know who your red flags are from the first conversation and monitor their behavior closely on the program,” said Amy Gross, the WUJS recruiter. However, she added, sometimes “all the monitoring in the world can’t prevent someone from doing something crazy.”

Career Israel, another long-term internship program in Israel, requires applicants to submit a recommendation.

Herskowitz also received funding for the program from Masa Israel Journey, an umbrella organization for 200 long-term Israel programs. In order to receive the stipends, which run into the thousands of dollars per person, participants must be Jewish and aged 18 to 30.

Following the shooting, the Jewish Agency for Israel, which governs Masa, said that it would be convening a panel “to examine the processes by which the American participant was accepted to the Oranim program in Eilat,” according to an email. A subsequent statement to JTA called the incident “a truly anomalous event.”

The former Oranim recruiter, as well as the group’s spokesperson, said the phone interview was enough to determine whether an applicant was fit for Oranim’s programs.

“You can tell by having a conversation with somebody if they sounded competent, if they sounded strange or if they had a strange reason for coming to Israel,” the former recruiter said, adding that recruiters sometimes called applicants’ grandparents to get more insight into them.

Arad, Oranim’s spokesman, said the organization has to rely on the applicants themselves to provide reliable information.

“You don’t ask a person, ‘Are you crazy?’ ” Arad said. “They need to give medical assurances. What can you learn from the resume of an 18-year-old?”

Eilat shooting raises questions about recruitment for Israel programs Read More »

Three women, the Israel Defense Forces, and the price of fear

It’s hard to imagine anyone else’s reality.  We pretend we do in order not to feel so helpless.  But usually, we’re just guessing or faking it.  Thus, it is incredibly rare and spectacular to find an author who possesses the literary talent to transport us so completely and persuasively to an utterly foreign realm.  First time novelist, 24-year-old Shani Boianjiu, has performed such a feat in “The People of Forever Are Not Afraid” (Hogarth/Crown, $24), her disturbing and provocative new book about the traumatic experiences of three young Israeli girls serving in the Israeli Defense Forces.

It feels as if the book is autobiographically based on the author’s own two year army service. The two-page publicity packet that accompanied Boianjiu’s book provides some basic biographical information about her.  She was born in 1987 in a small town near the Israeli-Lebanon border.  She has had some of her short fiction published already in small literary journals and an excerpt from this book was just printed in the New Yorker.  But her publicist says little else about her.  A larger clue lay hidden on the second page of the publicity packet, which is completely filled with a huge color portrait of the young author.  One notices immediately a strikingly gorgeous brunette with thick black hair and a sultry mouth, and beautiful huge eyes that slice right through you.  At first glance, it almost looks like a Hollywood headshot.  But, upon closer examination, one notices a darker reality.  There is a steeliness in Boianjiu’s gaze that is unsettling and a tightness around her lips that belies her young years.  Some spark has already been extinguished from her face, but you don’t yet understand its source.

The novel follows three very close friends who grew up in the same small boring tiny Israeli village.  The three girls relied upon each other for everything young intense friendships demand.  When they leave for their army service, their lives take different directions.  Yael is assigned to train marksmen.  Avishag stands guard at a barbed-wired fence, watching refugees on the other side.   Lea is posted at a checkpoint where she can’t seem to stop herself from imagining the inner lives of the men and women who walk past her with their eyes lowered.  There is always the nervous tension of imminent danger present alongside the aching boredom of hours spent doing nothing but watching and waiting for something dreadful to happen. 

The voice of Yael narrates the first chapter, and it seems somehow to be the one that most closely echoes Boianjiu.  Yael is still stuck in high school and irritated with almost everyone and everything that goes on around her.  She spaces out in school most of the time dreaming about her friend Avishag’s brother Dan, whom she loves, and thinking about the lunch her mother has packed for her, which is always the same: a tomato and mustard and mayo and salt sandwich.  It is the only one she will eat.  Bored by the teacher, she writes in her journal “When are we going to stop thinking about things that don’t matter and start thinking about things that do matter?  Dan has recently returned from his army service and spends his days shut up inside his home drawing picture after picture of military boots.  And then one day, he kills himself playing a game of Russian roulette with some old buddies near the cell phone tower in the village.  Heartsick, Yael leaves to perform her own army service.

In the second chapter, we hear Avishag speak to us from boot camp, where she is training to become a soldier.  One of her first drills is learning what it feels like to suffocate and trying not to panic.  Each soldier is instructed in how to securely fasten their gas mask and then asked to enter a tent that is filled with tear gas.  They are each asked the same four questions when they enter the tent, first with their mask on and then again after being forced to remove it.  The questions are “Do you love the Army?  Do you love the country?  Who do you love more, your mother or your father?” And finally, “Are you afraid to die?”  The goal is to stay in the tent as long as you can without your mask on and still be able to speak, thus showing your ability to focus under duress.  Most of the women struggle, but when Avishag removes her gas mask and feels the tear-gas attacking her lungs she feels a bizarre sense of liberation, thinking “This is my chance.  As long as I am choking I am allowed, Yael and Lea are not here to drown my words with their chatter.  No one in my family is around to ignore me.  My talking serves a purpose.  My talking, my tears, are a matter of national security.  A part of our training.  I will be prepared for an attack by unconventional weapons.  I can save the whole country, that’s how prepared I’ll be.”  But her tear-gassed induced euphoria is short-lived; she is struggling to cope, and we feel for her.

When Lea addresses us in the third chapter, she outlines her responsibilities, checking the permits of Palestinian construction workers who come into Israel for daily construction work.  Lea becomes infatuated with one of them, a man named Fadi, whose glare is always upon her.  She notices that, “He had murky rims under his eyes and hairs in his nose.  He smelled of sweat and aftershave.  He was like the rest of them, but he stood with urgency.  He did not want to be there.”  At night, Lea is consumed by thoughts of his life at home; she tries to imagine what his wife looks like, even the faces of his children.  Later on, when Fadi stabs one of her fellow soldiers in a fit of fury, she feels able finally to crystallize her plans for her future, thinking “I saw I was a soldier and knew that I would be an officer and I was not afraid.”  At 19, she applied to continue her service and become an officer in the army.

Shani Boianjiu lays bare for us what these young people must endure and the emotional collapse that often follows.  She is able to replicate for us the almost paranoid mind-set the soldier must develop in order to survive and the scars it leaves on their psyches.  Recently, in the Boston Review, Oded Na-aman wrote poignantly about his own experiences in the IDF, where he served as a soldier at a checkpoint in the West Bank.  Like Shani Boianjiu’s characterization of Lea, he was forced to confront days filled with constant fear and confusion.  Na-aman writes “As you stand at the checkpoint, you must constantly consider the various ways in which you may be attacked: Where are they going to come from?  What will the strategy be?  Is that child as innocent as he seems, or is he smuggling a weapon?  Is that ambulance really rushing a woman to the hospital to give birth, or are there enemies hiding inside?  Is that old man harmless, or is he deliberately diverting your attention from something that is happening behind your back?…The soldier realizes he should not act on empathy, since empathy can be manipulated.  But can he suppress this natural sentiment?  It takes time.”  Similarly, the three women in Boianjiu’s novel fight to suppress their natural feelings, at great personal cost.

Reading this novel makes you worry for Israel, for Jews everywhere.  It raises important questions about army life and the toll it exacts on Israeli youth.  The young women here don’t seem to feel part of a heroic mission.  Their lives seem devoid of spiritual meaning — religious or secular.  They seem simply cut-off from themselves and others.  As a Jew who feels deep concern for the fate of our people, I feel troubled by the chorus of voices clamoring in my head.  On one hand, I listen with sympathy and respect to the voices of Amos Oz and David Grossman and even Avrum Burg, who have been writing so eloquently about the massacre they see being inflicted on the Israeli soul by an overzealous military.  On the other hand, I hear my dead father’s whispering voice telling me that Jewish safety is only upheld by the presence of a strong Israeli military state.  Certainty eludes me.


 

Elaine Margolin is a frequent contributor of book reviews to The Jewish Journal and other publications.

Three women, the Israel Defense Forces, and the price of fear Read More »

One in 6 unaffiliated U.S. Jews seeking Jewish expression, poll finds

Some 1 million American Jews — or one in 6 — are actively seeking Jewish expression and engagement outside of synagogue life, according to a new study.

The results of a study released by the Workmen’s Circle/Arbeter Ring break down the notion that American Jews either are affiliated with synagogues or have a Jewish identity that revolves around Jewish humor and food with little active connection to Jewish ritual and living.

The Internet poll of 1,000 Jews was conducted between April 19 and May 3 by IPSOS with Steven M. Cohen and Samuel J. Abrams as the leading researchers. Results were weighted to reflect the American Jewish population by factors such as age, gender, geography and marital status.

The respondents tended to describe themselves as “cultural” and “spiritual.” Many said they believed in God and still prayed but shied away from congregational life. They showed numerous signs of Jewish engagement, tended to be attached to Israel and placed particular emphasis on economic justice and social equality, according to the study.

As many as 40 percent of the respondents were under the age of 35, nearly three in five fasted on Yom Kippur (approximately three in four of those congregationally affiliated do so) and 46 percent “at least sometimes” have a Friday night Shabbat meal with family and friends. Also, 56 percent said they were “very attached to Israel,” which is larger than any other non-Orthodox group.

Nearly half of the respondents — 49 percent — are married; 18 percent are intermarried. About half, 51 percent, identified as liberals.

In the past, self-defined cultural Jews had a “very passive approach” to Jewish life, Ann Toback, national director of the Workmen’s Circle, said in a news release. The study’s results, she added, show them to be “engaged with Jewish values” and wanting to be part of the Jewish community, “although often outside of a congregation.”

Madelon Braun, president of the Workmen’s Circle, said the poll demonstrates “a real need for a Jewish home for those who do not seek a congregational affiliation.”

One in 6 unaffiliated U.S. Jews seeking Jewish expression, poll finds Read More »

Islands of Sanity

I have been working all kinds of extra hours, stressing about deadlines, workflow processes, what is going to fall between the cracks, how bad it’s going to be when we discover what we missed, etc. But I’m not feeling overwhelmed. Part of the reason for that is I’m naturally resilient. And part of the reason for that are the islands of sanity that keep appearing in my life.

Sometimes the island is something unexpected and spontaneous, like when I came to work on a Monday morning after working on Sunday, and found an email from a client saying, “As always, thanks for your prompt support and kind nature.” People often don’t understand what an impact a note like that can have on someone.

Sometimes the island is something planned and expected, like Friday night after services, when I went to the house of a friend and spent the evening singing with “>Religious and Reform Facebook page to see additional photos and behind-the-scenes comments, and Islands of Sanity Read More »

LEADING THE GOLD RUSH: LOS ANGELES BECOMES THE PREMIER DESTINATION FOR SUPERSTAR ATHLETES

If New York is the city that never sleeps, Los Angeles is the city happily dreaming. Dreaming like we cheer for our sports, eager for more and more.  ‘Cause when it comes to sports in Los Angeles, fans only get more and more.  Just look around!  The Lakers, Clippers, Angels, Dodgers, Kings, Galaxy, all star-studded at the same time.  Like never before, the city has become a magnet to athletes, pulling away small-market heroes from cities nation-wide.  And it’s been this influx of stars from all major sports that continues the city’s commitment to the biggest, best, and brightest, and L.A. has never been brighter. 

Let’s have a look at the five major sports teams “based” in L.A.:

Los Angeles Dodgers

Golden Acquisitions:  Led by Magic Johnson and the Guggenheim Partners, the new Dodgers ownership wasted little time jockeying for prominence.  First they re-signed one of baseball’s most dynamic talents, outfielder Matt Kemp, to a long-term extension.  Then they re-signed their 2011 Cy Young Award winner, 24-year-old Clayton Kershaw, for two more years at Chavez Ravine.  Later in July, three weeks after the Lakers traded for Steve Nash, the Dodgers traded for former NL batting champion Hanley Ramirez.  And again in August, two weeks after the Lakers traded for Dwight Howard, the Dodgers traded for a $250 million star-trio of Josh Beckett (3x All-Star), Carl Crawford (4x All-Star), and Adrian Gonzalez (4x All-Star).

2012 performance:  Finished 86-76, 2 games back from NL wild-card berth.

Cost:  Matt Kemp- 8 years, $160 million; Clayton Kershaw- 2 years, $19 million; Hanley Ramirez- 6 years, $70 million; Josh Beckett- 2 years, $31.5 million; Carl Crawford- 5 years, $102 million; Adrian Gonzalez- 6 years, $127 million.

Star Grade:  A-

 

Los Angeles Kings

Golden Acquisitions:  Looking to spark their offense, Kings management traded defenseman Josh Johnson and a conditional first-round pick for former All-Star, forward Jeff Carter. It was a golden transaction for Kings general manager Dean Lombardi, who watched his team finish 27-9 to win their first Stanley Cup.  In an effort to keep their championship pieces intact, the Kings have already extended Stanley Cup MVP Jonathan Quick, and re-signed forwards Dustin Penner and Dwight King.  

2012 performance:  Stanley Cup Champions.

Cost: Jeff Carter- 10 years, $52 million; Jonathan Quick- 10 years, $58 million; Dustin Penner- 1 year, $3.25 million; Dwight King- 2 years, $1.5 million.

Star Grade:  B+

 

Los Angeles Clippers

Golden Acquistions:  If Jay-Z is the East Coast’s rags-to-riches romance, it’s time for Angelenos to consider the Clippers as their own.  The Clippers still haven’t won anything of significance, but for a team with an all-time regular season winning percentage of .357%, they’ve had quit the Hollywood facelift.  It started with their heist of Team USA’s starting point guard Chris Paul, a player who single handedly and instaneously renewed hope and excitement in the team.  Then it was the turn of Slam Dunk champion Blake Griffin, whose five-year contract opened the roads to Los Angeles more than Carmageddon.  And it was the pledges of support from Lamar Odom, Jamal Crawford, Chauncey Billups, Grant Hill and Matt Barnes, that added the finishing touches to the team’s radical transformation.

2012 performance:  Finished 40-26, Eliminated 4-0 in the Western Conference Semifinals by San Antonio Spurs.

Cost: Chris Paul- 1 year, $17.7 million; Blake Griffin- 5 years $95 million; Lamar Odom- 1 year, $8.2 million; Jamal Crawford- 4 years; $21.35 million; Chauncey Billups- 1 year, $3 million; Grant Hill- 2 years, $4 milion.

Star Grade:  A-

 

Lost Angeles Lakers

Golden Acquisitions:  What more can be said?  They wrestled away two-time MVP Steve Nash from their conference rivals and kept 5x All-NBA First Team player Dwight Howard from forming one super-team by forming their own.  Led by the ever-imaginative Mitch Kupchak and Jerry Buss, the Lakers continue to flourish as the NBA’s model franchise, a title achieved not by the demographic of their fans at games but rather by the standard to which they field their team.  The standard is a simple one: win, and win with style.  And following the summer moves they’ve made, the Lakers are poised to do both, emphatically.

2012 performance:  Finished 41-25, eliminated 4-1 in the Western Conference Semifinals by Oklahoma City Thunder.

Cost:  Steve Nash- 3 years, $27 million, Dwight Howard- 1 year, $19.4 million (and a likely 5 year, $117.9 million contract offer next offseason), Jordan Hill- 2 years, $7.13 million; Antawn Jamison- 1 year, $1.4 million.   And because of their being so high above the salary cap, they’ll pay an additional $30 million in luxury taxes next summer.

Star Grade:  A+

 

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Golden Acquisitions:  The Angels made the biggest splash of the offseason when they signed Albert Pujols and C.J. Wilson, the two top free agents, both in the same hour.  Wilson, a 2x All-Star, was regarded as the best pitcher of the offseason, while Pujols, a 9x All-Star, was recognized as the best batter of his generation.   Then, a little more than a month into the season, the Angels struck gold when rookie-phenom Mike Trout* emerged as an instant superstar, producing MVP-like offense and Gold Glove-caliber defense.  And in true L.A.-fashion, the Angels struck gold once again when they acquired former AL Cy Young Award winner, Zack Greinke, the prized pitcher of the 2012 trade deadline.  

Cost:  Albert Pujols- 10 years, $254 million; C.J. Wilson- 5 years, $77.5 million; Zack Greinke- 2 months, $5.15 million, 3 top prospects, an offseason bidding war to come.
2012 performance:  Finished 89-73, 4 games back from AL wild-card berth.

Star Grade: A

In less than ten-months time, the sports world stood idly by while Angelenos celebrated 7 major trades and 5 major signings.  And thanks to the generosity of cities like New Orleans, Orlando, and Columbus, Los Angeles now features 5 teams with at least two former All-Stars on their current roster.  To put that in perspective, 25 U.S. states don’t even have a team.  And incredibly, this article has spotlighted a three-time NBA Defensive Player of the Year (Howard), a two-time NBA MVP (Nash), two CY Young Award winners (Greinke, Kershaw), a three-time NL MVP (Pujols), a World Series MVP (Beckett), a Stanley Cup MVP (Brown), 11 more All-Stars, all without a single mention of Landon Danovan or Pau Gasol and their kind-of famous teammates David Beckham and Kobe Bryant.  A wealth of this measure this can only be dreamt of in the city of Los Angeles, in the City of Angels.

LEADING THE GOLD RUSH: LOS ANGELES BECOMES THE PREMIER DESTINATION FOR SUPERSTAR ATHLETES Read More »

October 10, 2012

In-depth

Enough Already

Neither Obama nor Romney are as good – or as bad – as American Jews are led to believe, writes Aaron David Miller in Foreign Policy

Too many Democrats want to pretend that Barack Obama is the most pro-Israel president in American history (see Joe Biden's paean to Obama). And too many Republicans want to believe that Mitt Romney is Israel's salvation and will rescue the Jews from the clutches of a sitting president they somehow think is a cross between Carter and Rev. Jeremiah Wright. None of these morality plays, of course, bear the slightest resemblance to reality.

 

Will NATO Intervene in Syria?

The U.S. should be wary of being dragged into war over Turkey's grievances with neighboring Syria, writes Doug Bandow in the National Interest. 

Even though the Turkish people appear to oppose war with Syria, Prime Minister Erdogan declared that the two nations are “not far” from war. His government might decide that the public could be carried along in a burst of patriotism. Ankara also might consider provoking an incident in an attempt to force events and invocation of Article 5. Or war could be sparked by another incident, even if unintentional. A seemingly minor spark lit the fuse for World War I. In any case, having routinely intervened all over the world where few important U.S. interests were at stake, Washington could not easily remain aloof from a violent challenge to such a long-standing ally.

 

Israel's National Security: Myths and Reality

Writing in the Huffington Post, Alon Ben-Meir argues that Israel's military might is no substitute for peace with its neighbors, and in fact should be used to achieve that aim. 

Israel is and remains, for as far as the eye can see, a military power that no individual Arab state or combination of states can overwhelm militarily — and if they try, they will do so at their peril. At no time in its history has Israel been stronger militarily. This mighty military prowess can and will be used to deter, defend or go on the offensive should Israel's security be threatened. For this reason, Israel cannot mortgage its security to a third party, it must remain vigilant, powerful and ready at all times to take any legitimate military action deemed necessary to ensure its survival.

 

Daily Digest

October 10, 2012 Read More »

Netanyahu expected to win in elections unlikely to change Israel’s left-right balance

It wasn’t the call for early elections that was unusual about this week’s announcement by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that Israel will move up its next election to early 2013, from its scheduled slot in October 2013.

After all, only a few governments have served a full term in Israel’s 64-year history.

What was unusual was that seemingly everyone on Israel’s political spectrum – from left to right – appeared to agree that there was no real contest about who would be the next prime minister. Barring any major surprises, Netanyahu is expected to win a third term handily.

“Netanyahu looks like an authoritative and experienced statesman, with no present alternative,” Aluf Benn, Haaretz’s editor in chief, noted in an Op-Ed.

It’s not that there’s no opposition to Netanyahu in Israel.

Shelly Yachimovich, leader of the center-left Labor Party, has called his conservative economic policies a “violent jungle,” according to Maariv. Shaul Mofaz, leader of the centrist Kadima Party, criticized Netanyahu’s “lack of judgment” on a potential attack on Iran’s nuclear program.

Zahava Gal-On, leader of the leftist Meretz Party, asked in a Facebook post on Tuesday whether voters “want four more years of trampling democracy, damaging human rights, freedom of expression, free assembly and protest?” Even Ehud Barak, Israel’s defense minister and Netanyahu’s coalition partner, has been sparring with the prime minister over U.S.-Israel relations.

But none of these political leaders represents a formidable challenge to Netanyahu. Nor is the current balance of power between right and left – which, at present, favors the right –expected to change. The seats split between Israel’s center-left and left parties may change configuration, but the right-wing bloc in Netanyahu’s coalition is expected to keep its dominant position.

Kadima, the six-year-old party started by Ariel Sharon that won the most seats in the last election, in February 2009, is likely to cede the most ground. Some polls predict Kadima will win as few as eight seats.

The Labor party is likely to pick up many of the voters defecting from Kadima. Polls show Yachimovich could lift the party to as many as 20 seats, up sharply from the eight it currently controls but significantly down for the party that historically dominated Israeli politics.

As a sign of Netanyahu’s strength, both Kadima and Labor are seen as potential coalition partners for Likud, and neither Yachimovich nor Mofaz have ruled that out. The only non-Arab party that has vowed not to join Netanyahu in a coalition is Meretz, which controls just four seats.

“Every single party except for Meretz… and the Arab parties are potential participants in the next government,” columnist Yossi Verter wrote in Haaretz. “It will be entertaining to watch them fight for their place in line.”

Netanyahu cited his coalition’s failure to pass a budget as the reason for calling the early elections now.

As it has for his entire term, the issue of how to stop Iran’s alleged nuclear weapons program could dominate the campaign. In addition, the Arab Spring and the regional instability in Egypt and Syria may work to Netanyahu’s advantage, according to Hebrew University political science professor Avraham Diskin.

“If people see there’s a threat, people always go to the right,” Diskin told JTA.

The only real threats to Netanyahu’s third term are not in Knesset right now. They include Ehud Olmert, the former prime minister from Kadima who recently was cleared of the corruption case that prompted his resignation in 2008; Livni, who resigned from the Knesset after her defeat to Mofaz in Kadima primaries in March; and Yair Lapid, a journalist turned politician who has founded a new centrist secular party called Yesh Atid, which translates as There is a Future.

But Olmert still faces corruption charges in other trials, and he has not yet said whether he will try to make a political comeback. He said he will come to a decision in a few days. At least one Likud Knesset member, Tzipi Hotoveli, reportedly is looking into legal options to ban Olmert from running, given the indictments he still faces.

It’s also unclear whether Livni will run at all, or which party she’d join if she does. Livni has failed twice to form the coalition government that would have made her prime minister: once when she inherited Kadima’s mantle after Olmert’s resignation, and then when Kadima beat out the Likud by a single seat in the 2009 elections.

As for Lapid, while his entrance into politics was greeted by much hype – he’s also the son of the late secular politician Yosef “Tommy” Lapid – he has no experience whatsoever in government and is not considered a viable alternative to Netanyahu when it comes to Israel’s foreign policy challenges.

Yachimovich and Lapid could try to swing the campaign back to the economy, playing to the economic liberalism Israelis advocated in the mass socioeconomic protests of the summer of 2011. But even there Netanyahu is seen as having significant advantages: The economic crisis that hit the United States and Europe hard largely passed Israel by, so far.

Netanyahu “has the ability to say there’s a world crisis and it’s only hit Israel lightly,” Gideon Rahat, another Hebrew University political science professor, told JTA. “The social protests did not succeed in topping the agenda.” 
In his speech announcing the early elections, Netanyahu touted the stability of his current coalition, which has – excluding this year’s brief unity government – fluctuated between 64 and 68 members since 2009, without any real coalition crises.

Netanyahu owes that stability to a solid block of right-wing parties including the nationalist Yisrael Beiteinu headed by Avigdor Liberman; the religious nationalist HaBayit HaYehudi; the Sephardic Orthodox Shas Party and United Torah Judaism.

These parties, polls show, will not grow or shrink substantially, with one possible wild card: Aryeh Deri, the former Shas leader who left politics in 2000 after being convicted of corruption. Deri may run again, even if it means starting a rival party to Shas. Should he win a small bloc of seats, he could become a kingmaker to either a right-wing or left-wing coalitions.

Netanyahu expected to win in elections unlikely to change Israel’s left-right balance Read More »

Ehud Olmert considers political comeback as early vote looms

Former Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, who has just received a slap-on-the-wrist sentence in a corruption case, is considering staging a political comeback in an election early next year, a former aide said on Wednesday.

Such a move could shake up a race that opinion polls suggest Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, viewed with suspicion abroad over his tough stance on Iran's nuclear program, is poised to dominate, with no current heavyweight opposition contenders.

Olmert, credited internationally for pursuing peace with the Palestinians, resigned as prime minister in 2008 amid graft allegations.

But he was largely acquitted of the charges at the end of a trial last July and received a suspended jail term that did not raise a legal obstacle to a political resurrection.

Yisrael Maimon, a former aide, said Olmert was mulling whether to become a candidate in the early ballot that Netanyahu announced on Tuesday eight months ahead of schedule after failing to secure coalition backing for an austerity budget.

“When so many people have told you that you will be able to replace the prime minister and that it's a very critical time for the country, then you certainly can think about it,” Maimon told Army Radio.

Netanyahu towers above other Israeli leaders in surveys that ask voters who can best run the country.

As such, an early election did not appear much of a gamble for him. However, privately his aides have pointed to Olmert as the only person they feel could offer a realistic challenge.

Olmert, who once led the centrist Kadima party, has not commented publicly on the possibility of a return to the frontline after he was forced into a humiliating retreat over the graft charges he always maintained were politically motivated.

OPPORTUNITY BECKONS

An opinion poll two weeks ago said only 16 percent of voters would consider backing Olmert if he decided to head a centrist bloc, but Israeli media has aggressively talked up his chances.

“The lack of a leading candidate … is what led Olmert to believe that there might be a once-in-a-lifetime window of opportunity for him to unite the centre-left camp and pose an alternative to Netanyahu,” columnist Mazal Mualem wrote in mainstream Maariv daily on Wednesday.

Haim Ramon, a former Kadima cabinet minister, said he hoped to recruit his ex-boss and other party leaders lagging behind Netanyahu in the polls into a new centrist movement.

“I am speaking with Olmert, who of course has not made his decision,” Ramon said on Army Radio.

The 66-year-old Olmert might seem to be an unusual choice. A risk-taker who led Israel into two wars, in Gaza and Lebanon during his term, he is still embroiled in a separate bribery trial dating to his time as Jerusalem's mayor from 1993 to 2003.

However, although deeply unpopular at home in the waning days of his premiership, he has the experience and political savvy to take on Netanyahu.

“He has the potential. We are talking about two prime ministers,” political analyst Hanan Crystal said on Israel Radio. “The public will understand it is Ehud versus Benjamin, and his (candidacy) will have greater potential.”

Editing by Crispian Balmer and Diana Abdallah

Ehud Olmert considers political comeback as early vote looms Read More »