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May 15, 2012

Netanyahu’s excuses and the Financial Times’ leaps of logic

On the plane from Tel Aviv to Washington DC (where I’m going to be spending a ‎few days), I got a copy of the Financial Times, and one headline caught my ‎eye: “No more excuses for Netanyahu”. It was the lead editorial of a paper ‎known for being critical of the Israeli prime minister and his government. As I ‎read, I was unsure as to whether I should even bother to correct all the false ‎assumptions and overstatements and illogical conclusions it contained, but ‎having the temper that I do and a very long flight ahead of me, putting it aside ‎was difficult. So here we go, a line-by-line reading (not every line, but many).‎

Headline: “No more excuses for Netanyahu”‎

Really? Why not? True, he can no longer say his coalition is too small, but can ‎still offer other excuses. Besides, the headline doesn’t specify excuses for what. ‎As you will see later, it’s not easy to understand what the writers actually want ‎Netanyahu to do.‎

Sub-headline: “Bibi’s choice: peace with the Palestinians or war with Iran”‎

This is a false dichotomy. Suppose Netanyahu wants both peace with the ‎Palestinians and a war with Iran, or alternatively doesn’t want either. Could he?  ‎

First paragraph: “He [Netanyahu] is unquestionably a master tactician. Now, ‎Israel and the world need to know whether he is a statesman”‎

This sentence is problematic on two counts. First, it clearly assumes that being a ‎statesman means doing what the editorial board of the Financial Times ‎advocates. I’m not saying it isn’t, but I would need some more proof to be ‎convinced that it is. Second, it assumes that Israelis do not think Netanyahu is a ‎statesman – an assumption that contradicts almost every poll I’m aware of. ‎

Second paragraph: “…ultra-nationalist coalition…”‎

Why not “nationalist”, why not “right-tilting”, why not “right-of-center”? What is an ‎‎“ultra-nationalist” coalition, and who defines a coalition as such? And when ‎exactly does a coalition cross the line from merely “nationalist” to “ultra-‎nationalist”? ‎

Third paragraph: “the new alliance… reunifies the mainstream right”‎

The FT, yet again, has found a new way to define Israeli politics. Why is the ‎unification of Likud and Kadima an alliance of the “mainstream right”? Kadima, ‎if I remember correctly, was established as a centrist party, and in the last ‎election was clearly a left-of-center party. Not according to the FT – they’d ‎probably divide Israel into two equally important camps: the right (all parties ‎except for the left), and the left: Meretz and maybe the Arab parties. ‎

Fourth paragraph: “Mr. Mofaz’s primary service will be to provide Mr. ‎Netanyahu with a shield… against Barack Obama”‎

As far as I can tell (but this may change when I’m in Washington), Mr. Mofaz ‎actually provided the Obama administration with an opportunity to try to push ‎Netanyahu around (because, as the FT itself declared, Netanyahu has no more ‎excuses).‎

Fifth paragraph: No complaints.‎

Sixth: “to change Israel’s enfeebling system of proportional representation”‎

It is really “enfeebling”? Some say it is, some say it isn’t. I have no problem with ‎those claiming it is, as long as I’m convinced they did their homework and ‎understand what they are talking about. In this case I was not convinced.‎

Eighth (I know, I skipped one): “it is Israel’s regional and Palestinian policies ‎that will be watched most closely”‎

By whom? Israelis seem to have other priorities for this government. ‎

Ninth: “national unity governments have in the past been the preclude to ‎war”‎

With all due respect to FT’s mention of 1967 – it was a long time ago, the ‎government was formed for a war, and drawing any comparison to the present is ‎questionable. The 1984 unity government effectively started the withdrawal of ‎Israel from Lebanon following the first Lebanon War – and the withdrawal was ‎completed 15 years later. Why not use this as example of the things that Israeli ‎unity governments can do?‎

Tenth: “Mr. Mofaz has said he regards the Palestinian question as far more ‎important than Iran”‎

Mr. Mofaz says many things. He said that Netanyahu was a liar, and then joined ‎the coalition; he said he’d never leave the Likud Party, and then departed for Kadima. ‎The quote regarding Iran is taken from Mofaz’ opposition days, and I’m not sure ‎if it still holds. It surely holds from the FT perspective, and that’s the only reason ‎Mofaz is quoted in this fashion.‎

Eleventh: “committed to a greater Israel”‎

Are we talking about the same Netanyahu who publically supported the two-‎state solution?‎

Twelfth: “the contours of an agreement with the Palestinians will not change”‎

Maybe they will, maybe they won’t. I wish I had a dollar for every time I read or ‎heard this observation. And by the way, will not change from what? As far as I ‎can remember, the agreement specified by the FT has not yet been achieved. ‎So these are the contours of a non-agreement that will not change. But if they ‎will not change, it will remain a non-agreement – so maybe we ought to change ‎them (or, possibly, accept the FT view, something I can’t see either the Israelis ‎nor the Palestinians doing at present).  ‎

Thirteenth: “with its [Israel’s] legitimacy eroding abroad”‎

FT contribution guaranteed.‎

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Israel plans for quake aid to Palestinians

Israel said on Tuesday it had set up a mechanism to get aid to the Palestinians in the event of a major earthquake.

A 5.5-magnitude quake rattled Israel and the occupied West Bank on Friday, reminding residents of their vulnerability to the Syria-African Rift, a northern extension of Africa’s Rift Valley.

“The working assumption is that they (Palestinians) do not have the means to deal with such a disaster on their own,” said Alon Rozen, director-general of Israel’s Civil Defense Ministry.

Given Israel’s control of the West Bank, it would, in the event of a major quake, host a United Nations aid distribution center to receive relief from abroad for Israelis and Palestinians.

The last big quake in the region in 1927 killed hundreds of people. Such events tend to recur every 80 or 90 years.

Rozen said Israel decided last year to devote new attention to earthquake preparedness. “The aspect of international aid for the Palestinians was something we had not dealt with. Last September, we realized this was a shortfall.”

A U.N. official confirmed there was coordination with Israel, but the Palestinians said they had yet to be consulted.

“We asked the United Nations years ago to create safe corridors for receiving foreign aid in case of catastrophes,” Major-General Ahmed Rezek, head of the Palestinian civil emergency services, said in the West Bank city of Ramallah.

A senior Israeli military officer said his forces were on standby to provide relief to Jewish settlers in the West Bank but not to the much bigger Palestinian population.

“Were they to request help, I’m sure we would be happy to provide it,” said the officer, speaking on condition of anonymity.

The U.N. official, who asked not to be named, said a Palestinian request for Israeli assistance in the West Bank would be standard procedure under such circumstances.

More challenging would be the Gaza Strip, another Palestinian territory whose Islamist Hamas administration is hostile to the Jewish state.

Israel, which keeps the enclave under naval blockade while allowing some commercial traffic across its land border, has held preliminary internal discussions on how to deliver emergency assistance, Rozen said.

Talks on founding an independent Palestinian state are deadlocked.

Additional reporting by Ali Sawafta in Ramallah; Editing by Tim Pearce and Janet Lawrence

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Top U.S. think tank warns against Israeli, American strike on Iran

The RAND Corporation, a think tank which advises the Pentagon, warned on Tuesday against an Israeli or American attack on Iran’s nuclear reactors, and recommended the Obama administration try to “quietly influence the internal Israeli discussion over the use of military force.”

In a document published in the think tank’s periodical, Rand Review, RAND openly disagreed with the belligerent stance of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak, which are set to meet with U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta and other high-ranking officials over the next several days. In doing so, and without naming names, RAND sided with former Mossad chief Meir Dagan and former head of the Shin Bet Yuval Diskin.

RAND’s call to prevent an Israeli strike and to come to terms with a nuclear Iran, on the condition that it does not test or deploy nuclear weapons, was published a week before the second round of the P5+1 talks with Iran in Baghdad, with a clear intention of influencing the Western position during the talks.

Read more at Haaretz.com.

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