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May 4, 2012

OPINION: Keep down the rates of student loans

Education is the key to success—a “silver bullet” for changing lives in all segments of society. An affordable, quality college education must be available to all, not just the wealthy.

Horace Mann, the renowned innovator in public education, said that “Education … beyond all other devices of human origin is the great equalizer of the conditions of men, the balance-wheel of the social machinery.”

This is why, as educators, we must do all we can to convince lawmakers in Washington that they must not allow the interest rate on millions of so-called Stafford loans to double from 3.4 percent to 6.8 percent. That will happen automatically on July 1 if Congress fails to act. It would affect 7 million students nationwide—400,000 in New York alone—and raise costs by an average of $1,000 each, the White House says. Doubling loan rates would cost New York students and their families an estimated $419.7 million.

Student loan debt is among the vital issues facing young Americans today. It has reached more than $1 trillion—higher than the debt on credit cards and car loans. The average balance nationally is about $23,000.

President Obama is urging Congress to keep the interest rates low; his presumptive Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, agrees. The political fight in Congress seems to be over how to pay for it.

This crushing debt comes on top of tuition increases. Tuition and related expenses increased 400 percent in the 30 years between 1980 and 2010, while median family income rose just 150 percent in the same period.

As a college president, I know firsthand how important it is that something be worked out. We must educate our young people in order to have a productive workforce. Hampering higher education will ultimately lead to the decline of America as a world power. We cannot survive as a nation in the global marketplace without student loans at a reasonable rate.

A recent CBS/New York Times poll found that two-thirds of Americans feel there is too much disparity between the haves and have-nots in our country. In considering ways to narrow the income gap, one constant factor is the strong relationship between education and lifetime income.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics says that median weekly earnings for college graduates for the third quarter of 2011 was $1,152 per week, compared to $636 for high school graduates and $459 for those without a high school diploma. So one of the most important goals of higher education ought to be to provide our young people with a high-quality education based on merit rather than means.

Increasing the interest rate on student loans will only serve to make it more difficult for low- and middle-income students to receive a high-quality education that will ensure upward mobility.

It is the responsibility of those in leadership positions to help provide access to a good education for all sectors of our nation. We must help nurture the next generation of entrepreneurs, thinkers, innovators and business leaders who one day will make their mark in the global marketplace and fortify our country’s status as a world power.

Making college affordable is one way to do this. Holding down the interest rate on student loans is another.

Dr. Alan Kadish is the president and CEO of Touro College and University System.

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Netanyahu’s Game of Coalition Building

LATEST UPDATE: May 8, 2012

So no early elections after all. Read more here.‎

I’ll start with the following three facts:‎

‎1. Israel’s election is four months away. It is almost certainly to be held on September 4.  ‎

‎2. Netanyahu, the head of the Likud Party, will almost certainly be the next Israeli Prime ‎Minister. That is, if the polls are accurate. (Why? Read here)‎

‎3. The new Israel’s Poll Trend feature is your best way of following Israel’s polls and ‎understanding Israel’s political numbers.  This new feature is part of the larger J-Meter, and is also a Rosner-Fuchs joint venture (namely, a feature in which we take credit for ‎work done mainly by Sara Miller, the Rosner’s Domain content manager).‎

Every week we will post an updated Israel’s Election Trends page that includes the ‎following:‎

‎1. Fine-tuned presentation of three possible coalitions: A right-wing coalition, a centrist ‎coalition and a left-wing coalition. This presentation, prepared by Prof. Camil Fuchs, will be at the heart of our attempt to ‎explain how Israel’s political story unfolds between now and Election Day.‎

‎2. The latest 10 Israeli polls: Namely, the 10 most recent polls of political parties published ‎by the Israeli media. In the table you’ll be able to see where the poll was published, on ‎what date, and the distribution of mandates among Israel’s many parties. ‎

‎3. Short analysis of the numbers and the dynamics presented in the graph and the table. ‎

So, let’s get to work, starting with our presentation of coalition blocs. More analysis will ‎follow the graph, but the headline of this graph should be clear: If elections were held ‎today, Netanyahu would have a choice that would be very convenient for him. He could ‎form a right-wing coalition (namely Likud + all religious parties and right-wing parties) that ‎would have a majority of 65 (out of 120) Knesset members; he could form a centrist ‎coalition (namely Likud + Kadima + Lapid’s Yesh Atid + Labor) that would have a majority of ‎‎71 Knesset members; naturally, with these two options open to him he could also form any ‎combination of the two, drawing from the two camps and forming a coalition that is even ‎larger. With so many options open to him, he should be in a position to be a tough ‎negotiator with the parties and get what he really wants. ‎

Take a look at the graph:‎

What do you see?‎

The three coalition blocs that we decided to follow on a weekly basis (those are the ‎trendlines in the three different colors); the polls used by Prof. Fuchs as he was creating ‎the trendlines (those are the dots along the way); the majority line – the red mark placed a ‎notch above the 60-seats line.  ‎

The trendlines we start with track the changes of the last two months, and a couple of ‎things can be said about them (caveat: all of it is true if polls can be trusted to accurately ‎record the current Israeli mood):‎

•‎ It doesn’t change that much. Netanyahu has had the two optional ‎coalitions the entire time. ‎

‎•‎ Netanyahu does have the option of a right-wing coalition, but it is not a safe one, a ‎shift of 4-5 mandates is possible and would completely change the picture.‎

‎•‎ The center-left can strive to have a bloc large enough to force Netanyahu into ‎building a coalition that includes centrist elements, but for it to be able to form a ‎government a lot has to change. ‎

‎•‎ All in all, the gap between the right bloc and the left bloc is slightly and gradually ‎narrowing in this graph (look at the red and the blue lines). ‎

‎•‎ The power of the centrist parties (including Likud) seems to be gradually growing ‎‎(green line).

As you can see in the table immediately below, Likud is the only party that can really be ‎called “big”, and it is followed by five other mid-size parties. Three of these five (Kadima, ‎Yesh Atid and Labor) are basically competing for votes from the same pool of voters, while ‎Shas’ struggle will be to thwart possible threat from a new Sephardic-religious party ‎headed by Aryeh Deri (if such party does emerge). Yisrael Beiteinu competes with Likud ‎and other right-wing parties for votes, but the real question related to its future is the ‎looming decision by Israel’s Attorney General as to whether the party’s leader, Foreign ‎Minister Avigdor Lieberman, will stand trial for corruption (this decision is expected in a ‎couple of weeks).  ‎

Take a look at the table:‎

A couple of technical notes:‎

‎1. We only use polls available to the public, and we attempt to gather all available polls ‎without missing any.‎

‎2. The trendlines are weekly – namely, it does not change with every poll but rather by ‎week (based on all polls published during the week).‎

‎3. As we go along, the mathematical formula which we use to plot the trendlines should ‎get better and become more accurate.‎

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Barak: Iran could seek short build time for bomb

Iran’s nuclear strategy could eventually allow it to build an atomic bomb with just 60 days’ notice, Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak said on Friday.

His remarks elaborate on long-held Israeli concerns that Iran is playing for time even as it engages world powers in negotiations aimed at curbing its uranium enrichment drive. Talks are due to resume in Baghdad on May 23.

“They are currently trying to achieve immunity for the nuclear program,” Barak told the Israel Hayom newspaper.

“If they arrive at military nuclear capability, at a weapon, or a demonstrated capability, or a threshold status in which they could manufacture a bomb within 60 days – they will achieve a different kind of immunity, regime immunity.”

Iran insists that its often secretive uranium enrichment is for peaceful energy and medical needs. At higher levels of purification, such projects can yield fuel for warheads, but Israel and the United States agree Iran has not taken that step.

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) last year issued a report detailing alleged Iranian research and development activities that were relevant to nuclear weapons, lending independent weight to Western suspicions.

Barak has said Iran is holding off until it can dig in behind defenses sufficient to withstand threatened Israeli or U.S. air strikes on its nuclear facilities.

His 60-day timeline for potential Iranian warhead production appeared aimed at skeptics both at home and abroad of Israel’s alarm who say it is too early to rattle sabers.

Israeli leaders believe the diplomatic drive, which involves the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, has a low chance of success, and suggest that Iran’s rulers seek an atomic bomb as insurance against outside intervention.

Some prominent Israelis have questioned the strategic value of a pre-emptive strike, with former spy chief Yuval Diskin last week accusing the government of promulgating the “false impression” it had the means of halting Iran.

“This is not so. We have been talking all the time about a delay,” said Barak, indicating that Israel could not eradicate Iran’s nuclear program, but saw value in forestalling it.

Israel is reputed to have the region’s only atomic arsenal, but many experts – including U.S. military chief, General Martin Dempsey – have voiced doubt that its conventional forces would be able to deliver lasting damage to Iran’s distant, dispersed and fortified facilities.

The idea that some countries with civilian atomic projects might then use them for military purposes is commonplace, letting states keep their options open while not necessarily violating their non-proliferation commitments.

A leaked diplomatic cable from 2008 quoted senior U.S. State Department official John Rood saying Japan was “not a nuclear threshold country…but rather is ‘over the threshold’ and could develop nuclear weapons quickly if it wanted to” should it feel the need to vie with its nuclear-armed Asian neighbors.

Barak, who leads the sole centrist party in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s conservative coalition government, has in the past sounded sanguine about Israel’s ability to deter a nuclear-armed Iran from attacking.

But with an Israeli election expected in September, and given Iran’s nuclear advances as well as Western war jitters, Barak has publicly closed ranks with the hawkish Netanyahu.

In Friday’s interview with the pro-government daily, Barak said Iran might regard trying to destroy Israel with nuclear weapons as worth the risk of catastrophic retaliation.

Under such thinking, he said, “after the exchange of strikes, Islam would remain and Israel would no longer be what it was”.

Editing by Crispian Balmer and Angus MacSwan

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Without a Randomized Study Your Results May Vary

A family of osteoporosis medications called bisphosphonates (which include Fosamax, Actonel, and others) is known to cause irritation of the esophagus. These medications have been prescribed millions of times. There are a few reports of patients developing cancer of the esophagus while taking these medicines. Obviously, many more people who develop esophageal cancer have never taken bisphosphonates. So how can we tell if bisphosphonates increase the risk of esophageal cancer?

A “>Analytical Trend Troubles Scientists (Wall Street Journal)

Important legal mumbo jumbo:
Anything you read on the web should be used to supplement, not replace, your doctor’s advice.  Anything that I write is no exception.  I’m a doctor, but I’m not your doctor.

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Beastie Boy Adam Yauch dies at 47

Adam Yauch of the seminal hip-hop group the Beastie Boys has died at the age of 47 after battling cancer.

Yauch, one of three members of the seminal hip-hop group, had been diagnosed in 2009 with cancer in his parotid gland and a lymph node. The news of Yauch’s death was first reported Friday by the website GlobalGrind.com.

Yauch performed in the Beastie Boys under the stage name MCA, along with Adam Horovitz (Ad-Rock) and Michael Diamond (Mike D). Ever since their raucous 1986 debut album “Licensed to Ill,” which fused rap and rock, the Beastie Boys have been enduringly popular.

Yauch was too sick to attend the Beastie Boys’ induction into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame last month.

Yauch practiced Buddhism and was a leader in efforts to promote the Tibetan cause. In 1994, he co-founded the Milarepa Fund, which organized the popular Tibetan Freedom Concert series.

He is survived by his wife and daughter.

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Publisher brings Jewish wisdom to a Web site or e-book near you

The rush of publishers into the e-book market became a tidal wave when Microsoft announced last week it was investing close to $300 million in e-textbooks.

The Jewish world, not surprisingly, is joining in.

Rethink Partners Publishing has introduced Sinai Live Books, an imprint of the company that acts as a modern mecca for Jewish literature. Based online and working with an established group of Jewish authors and leaders, Sinai Live assembles and publishes writings that offer insight into Jewish wisdom for the everyday.

The works can be delivered, downloaded, or even watched with video e-books—brief filmed commentaries that offer concise but profound discussions with authors like Rabbi Benjamin Blech or Rabbetzin Esther Jungreis.

[Download “” title=”www.sinailive.com” target=”_blank”>www.sinailive.com to learn more.

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Beastie Boys’ Adam Yauch, Jewish legend and hip-hop pioneer, has died

I had tickets to see the Beastie Boys at the Hollywood Bowl when Adam Yauch (aka MCA) was ” title=”Yauch, who was 47, has died” target=”_blank”>I was wrong.

Adam Yauch, one-third of the pioneering hip-hop group the Beastie Boys, has died at the age of 47, Rolling Stone has learned. Yauch, also known as MCA, had been in treatment for cancer since 2009. The rapper was diagnosed in 2009 after discovering a tumor in his salivary gland.

Last year, the ” title=”The Hot Sauce Committee Part 2″ target=”_blank”>The Hot Sauce Committee Part 2” had been delayed by Yauch’s treatment. It still rocked.

I’ve ” title=”this 2003 cover” target=”_blank”>this 2003 cover of Heeb remains my favorite.

Their legendary “Sabotage” music video is after the jump: