Rosner’s Domain: Morality and Schlemiels
You think we forgot? We didn’t forget! Last week, in the wake of an IDF inquiry that concluded that Palestinian journalist Shireen Abu Akleh was likely killed by unintentional IDF fire, the Biden administration demanded that Israel “reexamine its military’s rules of engagement.” If there’s chutzpah in this world – then this is it. Prime Minister Yair Lapid rejected the U.S. position. Defense Minister Benny Gantz rejected the US position. Former ambassador Michael Oren rightly said that the demand was outrageous. So, there is no point in pouring more water on the fading fire.
The Americans ought to take note of the fact that questioning the morality of the IDF isn’t the best way to get Israel’s attention.
And yet, the Americans ought to take note of the fact that questioning the morality of the IDF isn’t the best way to get Israel’s attention. The American ambassador to Israel, Tom Nides, is on track to become one of the least popular ambassadors to Israel. The Biden administration is on track to be as popular in Israel as the Obama administration was (that is, not at all).
Why would the administration do such thing? We’ll get to the two possible answers shortly, but before that, a few words about criticizing the morality of the IDF. Not long ago, the Jewish People Policy Institute published a survey which dealt, among other things, with the moral image of the IDF. The findings are unequivocal: more than seven out of 10 Jews in Israel (the Arabs are of course a different story) agree that the IDF is “the most moral army in the world”. That is, not just “moral.” Not just moral like all other reasonably moral armies. It is “the most moral in the world.” A survey by the Israel Democracy Institute from 2021 found that a large majority (77%) of the Jewish public (and also 35% of the Arab public) gave the IDF a high score for moral conduct in combat. In the same survey, almost three out of four Jews (72%) said that adherence to the law limits the IDF and makes it difficult for it to fulfill its military missions. So, if there’s an issue, it’s not that the IDF is not moral enough, but that it’s too moral.
Not that the public wants the IDF to lose its moral strictness. The public wants values — but also victory. The public understands that sometimes adherence to values makes it more difficult to win. Two-thirds of all respondents to the survey said that the IDF should “fight to win while trying not to harm innocents.” In other words, there is no compromise on victory (a minority of about 20% are willing to risk victory), but neither side ignores the need to protect those caught up in the battle (a small minority of 14% believe that in the circumstances of endangering innocents it is better for the IDF to lose a battle).
Now back to the position of the Biden administration. Why did it suddenly decide to suggest that Israel reexamine its rules? In general, one can choose between two possible answers, and then try to refine them. One option: the people in Washington are merely schlemiels. Someone pulled out an advice from the general-advice drawer, which seemed appropriate for the occasion, and used it without thinking much about the consequences. Another option, and this is the option for conspiracy theorists: This was a planned move designed to achieve a sophisticated goal that is difficult to grasp. Maybe something related to Iran? Maybe for the election? Let’s try an example of such a theory: let’s say the Americans decided to help Yair Lapid in the Israeli elections, and realized that they needed to provide Lapid with an opportunity to pick a fight with Washington and thus prove to the voters that he is not a wimpy leftist. The U.S. doesn’t want Lapid to have this fight over Iran, because Iran is important. Therefore, a careful maneuver was designed to hand Lapid an alternative opportunity to show his mantle.
If you opt for this conspiratorial version, the picture becomes clear: the Americans are simply working for the campaign of the center-left bloc. This bloc needs to move 2-3 more seats in its direction to ensure that under no circumstances will Likud’s Benjamin Netanyahu get a 61-seat majority. How can you move 2-3 seats leftward? By convincing voters who are not comfortable with Netanyahu, but also are not convinced that Lapid (or Benny Gantz) are tough enough for the top job. And what better way to do this than have a fight with the Americans about the morality of the IDF, and about Israel’s determination to decide for itself how to engage its enemies in battle?
So, what are they, schlemiels or tactical geniuses? The latter is more interesting, the former is more in line with previous such experiences. American administrations are often much less sophisticated than they appear in Hollywood movies. And they often get into unnecessary pits.
You may ask: Why not just assume that they really want Israel to examine the rules of engagement? You may ask: Why not take what they say seriously and assume that’s what they think? There is an answer to this question: If this is truly what they think, then they are even bigger schlemiels than I thought. That is, because as soon as they publicly demanded that Israel reexamine its rules, they more or less guaranteed that Israel would do no such thing. Certainly not during an election, certainly not when there’s no justifiable reason to make such a demand.
Something I wrote in Hebrew
MK Itamar Ben-Gvir, a radical rightist, is the focus of a heated debate. Is it legitimate to consider him as a member of a coalition? Many say it is not and argue that he is a “racist” of even a “neo-fascist”. I argued that the debate about Ben-Gvir is good for everyone:
Ben-Gvir is the weapon of the right, which wants to intimidate the opponent’s voters; Ben-Gvir is the demon of the center-left, who wants to put fear in the hearts of its own voters; And we haven’t even talked about the Arab parties, for which Ben-Gvir is perhaps the only tool with which to get the indifferent voters out. “If you don’t go to the polls – then big bad wolf Itamar will come to feast on you.” To sharpen the message, an imaginary suit has already been sewn for him: he will be the Minister of Homeland Security. Like the threatening three-piece suit of a mobster.
A week’s numbers
Based on themadad.com’s average of polls: a month-and-a-half before election day, this is what a sixth election (that is, another one after this one) looks like.

A reader’s response:
Yosef Adler asks: “Can you say something about the NYT expose on the Hasidic community?”. Sure: I did not fall off the chair.
Shmuel Rosner is senior political editor. For more analysis of Israeli and international politics, visit Rosner’s Domain at jewishjournal.com/rosnersdomain.
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