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February 6, 2020

Election Handbook: The Mainstream Wants Unity

We call this format a Timesaver Guide to Israel’s Coming Elections. This will be a usual feature on Rosner’s Domain until next Election Day, March 2, 2020. We hope to make it short, factual, devoid of election hype.

 

Bottom Line

 Less than a month, and no change.

 

Main News

The polls refuse to show signs of change.

The Trump Plan did not change political minds and hearts. In fact, it somewhat complicated Netanyahu’s stance, as he promised a lot (annexation) and delivered a little (statements, words, intentions).

Security concerns, as more rockets and balloons fly from Gaza, and a few attacks on soldiers and civilians shook the country on Thursday can still have impact on voters but are not yet registered in the polls.

Lieberman refuses to say that he will not sit in the same coalition with Meretz (as he announced in the previous rounds). This opened the door to speculation that a center-left minority coalition supported from the outside by the United Arab Party is becoming a possibility.

The vibe – well, there is no vibe. This is one of the most tired election cycles ever.

 

The Blocs and Their Meaning

The basic construct of the Israeli electorate remains basically unchanged. Following the release of the Trump plan, there were small gains for the right. Not enough to form a coalition.

 

 

Trends to Watch

Polls conducted by pollster Menachem Lazar for Maariv (listen to Lazar discussing his polls on Rosner’s Podcast) reveal something about the preferences of Israelis in case the electoral situation does not change. What coalition would the voters prefer to see when the dust is settled down? Here are the options presented to voters, and the percentage allocated for each.

 

 

And here is a clearer way to look at these numbers, as they basically contain to types of coalitions, unity (with or without Israel Beiteinu) and narrow coalitions. Note that a unity coalition is a possibility according to the polls, that a narrow right-religious coalition is impossible according to all polls, and that a narrow center-left coalition supported by the Arab Party is possible – but also the least desired option.

 

 

The following table shows that the voters of the main two parties want unity, while the voters of smaller and more radical parties want their party to be a member of a narrow coalition. That’s only natural, as these parties aren’t necessary in a unity coalition.

 

 

One important last thing: these options were presented without specifying if Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister in a unity government. So, it is possible that when a B&W voter says “unity” he or she only mean it in a case Netanyahu is out of the picture. In fact, when IDI pollsters asked Israeli to identify the topic that will determine the fate of the election, many of them said that the Netanyahu investigation is the most important issue on the agenda. As for the question how such issue goes hand in hand with a unity government, your answer is as good as mine.

 

 

 

 

 

Election Handbook: The Mainstream Wants Unity Read More »

Berkeley Jewish Students Walk Out of Student Gov Meeting as Protesters Chant ‘Free Palestine’

Several Jewish students at UC Berkeley walked out of a student government meeting Feb. 3 because pro-Palestinian students chanted “Free Palestine!” during the meeting.

The student-run Daily Californian reported that the chaos at the Associated Students of the University of California Senate’s (ASUC) University and External Committee meeting began when the committee considered a resolution condemning a Bears for Palestine (BFP) display on campus. The resolution accused the BFP display of glorifying “violent terrorists, including but not limited to Rasmea Odeh, Fatima Bernawi, and Leila Khaled.” Odeh, Bernawi and Khaled were members of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP).

“If Bears for Palestine refuses to significantly alter or abolish the display, the ASUC shall take further action to ensure Student Union spaces are not being used to glorify terrorism and the murder of innocent civilians,” the resolution states.

The Daily Californian described the meeting as “very tense, and members of the opposing opinions frequently exchanged verbal insults during the different speeches.” ASUC Senator Milton Zerman, the sponsor of the bill, called BFP “godless” and said that an opponent of the resolution objected to being filmed because she’s “scared to be on video supporting terrorism,” per the Californian. Pro-Palestinian protesters called supporters of the resolution “settler colonialists” as they spoke in favor of the resolution.

Berkeley’s Tikvah: Students for Israel wrote in a Feb. 4 Facebook post that pro-Palestinian protesters harassed and threatened Jewish students with violence throughout the meeting.

“One BFP member stepped into a student’s face and said ‘I’m going to kick your ass,’ while another Jewish student was chased out of the room by BFP members,” they wrote. “We, as a community, decided that enough was enough and that we were not going to sit idly by as our members were threatened and harassed, so we walked out.”

They added: “Physical threats against Jewish students will NEVER be tolerated at UC Berkeley. Jewish students should never feel threatened and should NEVER fear for their safety while on campus. This is truly an embarrassing moment for UC Berkeley.”

https://www.facebook.com/tikvah.berkeley/videos/190603668685279/

StandWithUs tweeted that the pro-Palestinian protesters also ripped up pictures of the two victims in a 1969 Jerusalem supermarket bombing; Odeh had confessed to being behind the bombing in 1980.

“Incidents like this make clear that the university must do much more to fight anti-Semitism, ensure a safe environment on campus and protect free speech,” they wrote.

Former Tikvah President Nathan Bentolila, who was at the meeting, told the Journal that pro-Palestinian students had called Jewish students “genocidal terrorists” and “white colonialists” during the meeting. He also said that opponents of the resolution kept calling Odeh, Khaled and Bernawi “freedom fighters” and wouldn’t acknowledge their terrorism.

There was a coalition of around 75 to 80 Jewish students in favor of the resolution who decided to walk out because they were perturbed that the pro-Palestinian students created such a hostile climate against them, Bentolila said.

“There were physical threats that were being made [against us] and they weren’t being addressed by the moderator or the administrator in the room, so we decided that it wasn’t a safe environment for Jewish students, so we decided to walk out,” Bentolila said, “and as we walked out, they immediately started to scream and to chant at our faces and continue with the name-calling and intimidation. It was absolutely chaotic.”

BFP wrote in a Feb. 4 Facebook post that their members were harassed and threatened during and after the meeting, including the use of racial slurs and calling their Jewish supporters “token Jews.”

“Yesterday was a win for us,” they wrote. “We had every marginalized group on campus standing with us. This, despite how terrifying it is to be a student at a public university that entertains such explicit fascism, makes us feel safer than anything. We now know that, no matter what is said or done to us, we will have all of you standing on our side.”

https://www.facebook.com/BearsforPalestine/posts/2400735786883728?__tn__=K-R

University Chancellor Carol Christ addressed what transpired at the student government meeting at the Feb. 5 ASUC Senate meeting, saying that she had heard that students of varying faiths and ethnicities felt uncomfortable due to “verbal assaults” levied at them.

“At the center of Monday’s meeting is a difficult challenge that we must acknowledge and continue to confront—the tension between Free Speech and our commitment to creating a campus environment where everyone must feel safe, respected, and welcome,” she said. “Students who support the Palestinian cause have a right to celebrate those they see as fighters for that cause, and their rights to express that support are fully protected by our country’s constitution. By the same token, Jewish students have a right to feel dismay and concern after seeing a poster they perceive as honoring those who killed, or attempted to kill, unarmed Jewish civilians.”

She added that the university is currently meeting with leaders from various groups on campus and is engaging in efforts to ameliorate the situation.

University Assistant Vice Chancellor of Executive Communications Dan Mogulof told the Journal in a phone interview, “What went down [at the Feb. 3 meeting] and how it was handled was unacceptable.” He also said that “there were deeply disturbing things that were said from all quarters.” 

The university is currently aiming to get students from both sides of the Israel-Palestinian conflict “to understand that civil discourse and debate is in their own interest and that they all share something in common, which is a desire to feel heard and safe and welcome and respected at this university,” Mogulof said.

The ASUC declined to provide an on-the-record comment to the Journal. 

Berkeley Jewish Students Walk Out of Student Gov Meeting as Protesters Chant ‘Free Palestine’ Read More »

Kvetching by the Sea – a Poem for Torah Portion Beshalach

Is it because there are no graves in Egypt that
you have taken us to die in the desert?

Ladies and gentleman, the Israelites
invented sarcasm right here in the desert!
Of course, there are graves in Egypt.
We just can’t afford them, and we’d
have to build them ourselves.
All the best Egyptian burial traditions
are decidedly not Jewish. We’re not
meant to wrap ourselves in bandages
and we certainly don’t take all our
stuff with us.

Ladies and gentlemen, the Israelites
invented kvetching, right here in the desert!
We hadn’t thought up the word dayenu yet
so it wasn’t enough we were brought
out of Egypt, or that meaningful frogs
fell out of the sky, or even that a slew
of Egyptian first-borns were…slewn.
All that matters know is we might get wet
and, outside of the occasional Spitz
and Krayzelburg, you know how we feel
about swimming.

Ladies and gentlemen, the Israelites
invented the dialog of the Jewish mother
right here in the desert! It’s fine, you swim
across the lake, your father and I will get
decapitated by Egyptian swords. Or maybe
I’ll just take a spear, I’m no good to anyone
without my head. Do me a favor, when you
get to the promised land, after you’re done
slaughtering the locals, marry a nice Jewish
someone. You don’t want to have to explain
the concept of ‘one God’ to a Canaanite baby
while my lifeless body sits on the shores
of the Red Sea (which they sometimes call
the “Dead” Sea for reasons which are now
obvious to me) not able to tell you anything.


God Wrestler: a poem for every Torah Portion by Rick LupertLos Angeles poet Rick Lupert created the Poetry Super Highway (an online publication and resource for poets), and hosted the Cobalt Cafe weekly poetry reading for almost 21 years. He’s authored 23 collections of poetry, including “God Wrestler: A Poem for Every Torah Portion“, “I’m a Jew, Are You” (Jewish themed poems) and “Feeding Holy Cats” (Poetry written while a staff member on the first Birthright Israel trip), and most recently “Hunka Hunka Howdee!” (Poems written in Memphis, Nashville, and Louisville – Ain’t Got No Press, May 2019) and edited the anthologies “Ekphrastia Gone Wild”, “A Poet’s Haggadah”, and “The Night Goes on All Night.” He writes the daily web comic “Cat and Banana” with fellow Los Angeles poet Brendan Constantine. He’s widely published and reads his poetry wherever they let him.

Kvetching by the Sea – a Poem for Torah Portion Beshalach Read More »

Swastika Found at Brown University

A swastika was found on an overhang above stairs leading to the basement of a student dormitory on the Brown University campus on the evening of Feb. 4.

The student-run Brown Daily Herald reported that the swastika, which was drawn with a pen, was subsequently removed from Hegeman Hall. Students covered the swastika with a yellow star until the university removed it.

Vice President for Campus Life Eric Estes and Associate Vice President for Campus Life Koren Bakkegard wrote in an email to the Herald, “Any acts that target members of our community on the basis of their identity, or have the effect of threatening their full inclusion, violate our values as a University and residential community. They are absolutely unacceptable.”

Matt LeClerc, a student who resides in the dorm, told the Daily Herald, “I don’t know how they plan to find the person, because it’s somebody literally just using a pen on a wall for a minute, and then they’re gone. I want to find out who’s doing it, and I want them to suffer the consequences of it, because this is gross.”

Anti-Defamation League New England Senior Associate Regional Director Peggy Shukur said in a statement to the Journal, “We are saddened to learn of a swastika incident at Brown University, yet are encouraged that university administrators are taking these incidents seriously and putting measures in place to stop the proliferation of hate on campus.  We also want to commend the students who reported the incident. Standing up and speaking out against hate takes courage.  Reporting incidents of hate makes our communities more secure and empowers us in these challenging moments.”

She encouraged people to report any anti-Semitic incidents to adl.org/reportincident.

According to the Herald, there have been more than 15 homophobic graffiti incidents in the Hegeman dorm since November.

Swastika Found at Brown University Read More »

Broadway Musical ‘13’ to Become A Netflix Movie

The Broadway musical “13,” about a teenager adjusting to life in a new town while preparing for his bar mitzvah, will become a Netflix movie produced by Neil Meron (“Chicago,” “Hairspray’).

The musical, which played for five weeks at the Mark Taper Forum in 2007 before its Broadway run the following year, starred an all-teenage cast and band including then-rising stars Ariana Grande, Elizabeth Giles (“Victorius,” “Dynasty”) and Graham Phillips (“The Little Mermaid Live!” “The Good Wife”).

The story centers on Evan Goldman, a 12-year-old who moves from New York City to Indiana with his mother after his parents’ divorce. He has to navigate the intricacies of the social circles at is new school while studying for his Jewish rite of passage.

Robert Horn will adapt the script based on his and Dan Elish’s book, and Jason Robert Brown will compose new songs for the movie. Tamra Davis will direct. 

Casting is underway for pre-teens with Broadway experience. Production is expected to begin in August.

Broadway Musical ‘13’ to Become A Netflix Movie Read More »

avi gil

Avi Gil: Thoughts on Trump’s peace plan


Avi Gil and Shmuel Rosner discuss Trump’s peace plan: the pros, the cons, and its possible implications.

Ambassador Avi Gil Served as the Director General of Israel’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs from April 2001-November 2002. He also served as Director-General of Israel’s Ministry of Regional Cooperation, Deputy Director-General of the Peres Center for Peace; the Prime Minister’s Chief of Staff, Media Advisor to the Minister of Foreign Affairs and the Minister of Finance, and Executive Policy Advisor to the Minister of Foreign Affairs. He has been closely involved in Israel’s policy-making and peace efforts, including the negotiations that led to the Oslo Accords and the peace treaty with Jordan. He is a Senior Fellow at the JPPPI and was a close advisor to President Shimon Peres.

avi gil

Follow Shmuel Rosner on Twitter.

Avi Gil: Thoughts on Trump’s peace plan Read More »

Howard Dean Says ‘Israel Embraces Ethnic Cleansing’ for Supporting Removal of Israeli Citizenship From Arabs

Former Democratic National Committee head and presidential candidate Howard Dean tweeted on Feb. 4 that Israel is embracing “ethnic cleansing” regarding its reported support for removing Israeli citizenship from Arabs.

Dean was reacting to a Haaretz report from earlier in the day saying that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had floated the idea to White House senior adviser Jared Kushner, the son-in-law of President Donald Trump, in 2017. The Haaretz report states that Trump’s peace plan opens the door to the idea with the provision stating that “subject to agreement of the parties … the borders of Israel will be redrawn such that the Triangle Communities become part of the State of Palestine. In this agreement, the civil rights of the residents of the triangle communities would be subject to the applicable laws and judicial rulings of the relevant authorities.”

The Triangle Communities reference the Arab-majority areas of Israel.

Dean’s full tweet read, “In other words, Israel embraces ethnic cleansing. This is a complete betrayal of Tikkun Olam and a betrayal of what it means to be a Jew.”

https://twitter.com/GovHowardDean/status/1224665332578705408

Jewish groups criticized Dean’s tweet.

“I think the Jews around the world — including this one — are getting kind of tired of people telling us what is anti-Semitism, what is Judaism, etc.,” Associate Dean and Director of Global Social Action Agenda at the Simon Wiesenthal Center Rabbi Abraham Cooper told the Journal in a phone interview. “… with the greatest of respect, in addition to tikkun olam — which is, of course, a core Jewish value but not per se a mitzvah — we’ve got 613 of them, including many, many core commandments that have to do with our love for the homeland.”

He added: “So I think we should try to get past that kind of moralizing. It leaves a bad taste in the mouths of people who understand that there are two people, two narratives, etc. We don’t need the lectures and we don’t need the talking points that are poisonous, and [Dean] just repeated one of them.”

The Progressive Zionists of California similarly said in a statement to the Journal, “Howard Dean unfortunately has made another clumsy commentary that wades into anti-Semitism. He should certainly call out Trump’s moral failings in proposing this plan, but should not goysplain what it means to be Jewish, especially in relation to the world’s only Jewish state.”

Dean, who is also the former governor of Vermont, ran in the 2004 Democratic presidential primary. His platform on the Israel-Palestinian conflict at the time included support for a two-state solution with “with an independent, demilitarized Palestinian state.” In 2003, he told The Washington Post that he believed in “an evenhanded approach in the conflict.”

Dean’s wife, Dr. Judith Steinberg Dean, is Jewish.

Howard Dean Says ‘Israel Embraces Ethnic Cleansing’ for Supporting Removal of Israeli Citizenship From Arabs Read More »

The Baker: Episode Eighteen

Ernie offers no excuses.

Looking back at the way he ran his kitchen, the way he acted toward his wives, children, grandchildren and even employees, there are few regrets.

Did he yell? 

Hardly at all.

Did he call people names?

“I never did any of that,” he says. “I only gave advice.”

So, maybe a few employees fled in fear and frustration after Ernie’s advice.

Life goes on.

Did he ever call any of his kitchen helpers dumb?

“Maybe they were dumb,” he says. “I had nothing to do with that. I was selling my pastries, that’s all.” 

Did he abuse his own family when they worked beside him? 

“Ha!”  

But the family isn’t laughing. By most accounts, Ernie’s always been a royal pain in the ass; a real son of a bitch. 

Always has been; always will be. 

Yet they admit that his very pluck, that contrarian stick-in-the-mud personality, probably saved his life as a German prisoner of war during World War Two. 

Ernie knows that all too well. 

Already heard the story? 

Let him tell you again. Hear him out, and you might finally begin to understand the man he is today.

He’ll tell you straight out: he’s no feel-good Roberto Benini in “A Beautiful Life, ” no warm and fuzzy “Patch Adams.” He’s more “Cool Hand Luke.” He’s a puny, pint-sized man whose attitude was all small-dog bark with just a little bit of bite.

To survive those years under the gun, Ernie used his tough-guy chutzpah like Hogan’s heroes brandished humor to stymie their captors, or the boys from MASH employed their lightning wit and satire.

See, he’ll tell you, Ernie was Jewish, and that was not a good thing to be in 1942 in Czechoslovakia, or anywhere else in Europe for that matter. 

As millions like him were rounded up, he was taken prisoner by the Germans and could have well been sent to the extermination camps to die – just like his neighbors, cousins, aunts, uncles and even his mother. 

He was also lucky. When the German SS officer arrived in need of someone to feed his men, he asked Ernie if he could cook.

Could he cook?

Hell, yeah, he could cook. 

But along with his signature sneer, that sour-faced bad attitude, Ernie has something else that made him stand out – he had talent, tons of it: 

He could go into the kitchen and bake up a sweet sugary storm of stuff to die for — you name it; poppy-seed strudels, Austrian Sacher torte and lemon Napoleons — enough to make his German SS Corps captors drool with anticipation. 

He made delicacies for the officers to eat with their champagne and beer. He made poppy-seed strudels, pasta with poppy-seeds, pastries and frankfurters.

The Nazis said he cooked cannoli like an Italian. 

That was good for Ernie.

They kept him alive for his cooking skills. 

He hated the Germans for being what they were — monsters. 

Those cooking chops gave this skinny little prisoner a bit of ammunition – a way to gain leverage with his captors; men who could have killed him with a snap of a finger. 

Ernie was a fast learner. 

He figured out that the best way to keep any German officer’s gun on safety was through his stomach.

Ernie tells stories of those days, mostly to Marianne, his daughter-in-law. 

He doesn’t bother with Morde or even his grand daughters. Because get this: Ernie is still such a son of a bitch who won’t give the time of day to anyone he doesn’t respect in the kitchen. 

So he tells Marianne, and few others, that he didn’t kiss any German ass.

He did his job and he did it well, so they let him be. And he kept that chip on his shoulder; the one the Germans couldn’t knock off.

If you didn’t do it his way, you ended up with egg on your face. 

And the same goes today, Ernie will tell you with a shrug.

Why change a recipe that’s already perfect?

But along with that sour demeanor has come a wise, world-weary sense of humor. Like the joke is on the rest of the world somehow.

Yet it’s all enveloped in a cloak of sadness. He has kept some mementos of those years feeding those hated Germans, including a portrait of the mother Sarah he still talks about; and still misses.

It’s the only chink in the old man’s armor – he still terribly misses the mother he last saw as a boy, at the train station of his home town in Europe, who had come to see him off on his way to the work camp.

She was worried whether he had nice strong shoes. 

Then the Nazis took her, too.

Ernie uses a walker now, and sometimes a wheelchair. But he’s still kicking; still baking. 

In Ernie’s mind, the idea was always to sell pastries. 

Nothing more, nothing less.

He, and everyone who worked with him, could not lose sight of that goal.

When he talks of Sharon, and her role in the bakery, his voice softens.

He tells of how she worked by herself for days in Lake Tahoe those summers when he had to return to his bakery in Oakland. 

“She was a smart girl. She was the best at arithmetic. She ran my bakery. Besides Einstein, she was the only one who knew the math and how to manage things.”

But he’s still not one to listen to complaints. 

When asked if Sharon might have been unhappy, he repeats how he bought a car for her. And the fact that she and her friends could always help themselves to free pastries.

Perhaps he really can’t remember the details. 

Maybe he’s repressed them.

No excuses. Not for the way he treated his wives, or his children. 

Not anybody.

He knows that Morde has always wondered whether his father really ever wanted a wife as a real companion rather than just someone to help out in his kitchen.

Did he always want things to go a certain way?

“I don’t want things to go a certain way. I want it to go the way it’s supposed to be.”

In other words, the chef is the top kitchen dog. 

He’s the boss.

Just like his mother Sarah was the boss.

He learned his kitchen demeanor from her.

“There was one mother,” he says. “She made the cakes. I listened to what she said. I put the knives in the right places. The forks.”

So the old chef has mellowed. The memory is foggy. The shouting all but gone.

“He has no reason to yell anymore,” Morde says. “All he does is sit there and chew the cud. He’s 91-years-old. What does he have to do?

“He cracks jokes. He’s sarcastic. There’s no reason to yell.

Because Ernie is the last son-of-a-bitch standing.

And the rest of the world can go to hell.

The Baker: Episode Eighteen Read More »

Two-State Solution May be Now or Never Because of Rising Anti-Semitism, US National Security Adviser Says

(JTA) —  The U.S. national security adviser said the Trump administration’s peace plan “could be the last opportunity for a two-state solution” because growing anti-Semitism around the world will bring more Jews to Israel and the West Bank.

Robert O’Brien made the remarks during a speech and discussion Wednesday with foreign diplomats to the United States, The Associated Press reported.

“This could be the last opportunity for a two-state solution,” O’Brien said at the Meridian International Center in Washington, D.C. “The Israeli birthrate is strong and is growing because sadly anti-Semitism in Europe and other places around the world is encouraging more Jews to return to Israel. The settlements are going to continue to expand. If this freeze on settlements doesn’t hold, if this peace process doesn’t work, it may be physically impossible to have a two-state solution.”

O’Brien acknowledged that the plan in not “perfect” but that the economic benefits offered for acceptance would make a State of Palestine the “Singapore of the Middle East,” according to the report.

The Palestinians have rejected the long-anticipated U.S. plan unveiled last week, and the Arab League voted unanimously to reject the proposal.

The plan would create a demilitarized Palestinian state on considerably less West Bank land than the Palestinians claim and allow Israel to annex all of the West Bank Jewish settlements and the Jordan Valley, which Israel considers a security necessity.

Two-State Solution May be Now or Never Because of Rising Anti-Semitism, US National Security Adviser Says Read More »

Israeli Soldiers Injured in 3 Attacks in 12 Hours

JERUSALEM (JTA) — An Israeli Border Police officer was shot and wounded in an attack Thursday morning on the Temple Mount in Jerusalem hours after 12 Israeli soldiers were injured in an early morning car-ramming attack in the center of the city.

Also Thursday, an Israeli soldier was injured in a drive-by shooting near the central West Bank settlement of Dolev, making the third attack in 12 hours.

One of the soldiers in the 2 a.m. car-ramming attack next to the popular First Station entertainment center in Jerusalem was seriously injured and required emergency surgery at Shaare Zedek Medical Center in Jerusalem, according to the Israel Defense Forces. He reportedly remains on a respirator. The soldiers, who are new recruits, were in Jerusalem ahead of an early morning swearing-in ceremony.

The Border Officer shot was lightly injured. He was standing with other officers, who shot the assailant dead at the scene. The shooter was identified as an Arab-Israeli resident of Haifa who had recently converted to Islam.

The terrorist organization Hamas praised the car-ramming attack, calling it a “practical response” to the Israeli-Palestinian peace plan recently rolled out by President Donald Trump. Hamas spokesman Hazem Qassem in a statement said the attack was part of “resistance” operations, but did not claim direct responsibility, the AFP news agency reported.

Israeli soldiers continued to search for the driver after locating the car abandoned in a Palestinian village near Bethlehem. The driver, a resident of eastern Jerusalem, was arrested later on Thursday and turned over to the Israel Security Agency, or Shin Bet for questioning.

“It is only a question of time – and not much time – until we apprehend the attacker. Terrorism will not defeat us; we will win,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a statement.

Israeli Soldiers Injured in 3 Attacks in 12 Hours Read More »