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January 14, 2019

Israel’s Election Handbook: Generals War

We call this format a Timesaver Guide to Israel’s Coming Elections. This will be a usual feature on Rosner’s Domain until April 9. We hope to make it short, factual, devoid of election hype, and of he-said-she-said no news, unimportant inside baseball gossip.

Bottom Line

Benny Gantz under fire from the right.

Main News

Gantz promises to fix Nationality Law – or maybe not. He wasn’t clear.

Intentions aside, he is attacked and tagged as leftist.

An ugly ex-generals war is underway: Yoav Gallant (a Likud joiner) vs. Gantz and Moshe Yaalon. The IDF is not all about comradery.

Bezalel Smotrich is the new leader of Haichud Haleumi, a religious-right party (a faction of the Jewish Home).

Schedule

Now they say Gantz will break silence, present his party, at the end of January.

Developments to Watch

Political: There is still a month to go before lists are closed. Many changes are still possible, hopefully (and likely) more mergers than splits.

Personal: Tzipi Livni still does not have a party – other than her own party. Rumors suggest that Orly Levy-Abekasis might join Gantz.

Material: Likud activists are asked to approve (on Tuesday) new rules that aim to marginalize candidates who run in districts, and advance candidates who run nationally. This is a technical maneuver that could be meaningful for some current MK’s.

What’s the Race About

Can Likud convince the voters that Gantz and Lapid are “left”.

Possible Wild Cards:

A Gantz – Yair Lapid merger. Unlikely, but not impossible. 

The Blocs and Their Meaning

We offer two options of political blocs. In the graphs bellow you can see what happened to these blocs since Dec. 30. Since then, parties fractured, but blocs remain relatively stable. Columns 13 and 14 are the averages for all polls (13) and the last five polls (14). Note that the slight increase in centrist bloc is mostly due to slight decline is the leftist bloc.

Focus on One Party

This is what it looks like, when a party has a clear constituency, ideology and tradition. United Torah Judaism, the party of Ashkenazi ultra-Orthodox voters (Haredi) is projected to win seven  seats is most polls, and then there are some that project six and a few that project eight (and one outlier of five). Clearly, all talks about possible merger of all Haredi parties is aimed at saving Shas – the Sephardic Haredi Party – from extinction. UTJ seems stable and safe.

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House Republicans Remove Rep. King of Committee Assignments

Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa) has been stripped of all his committee assignments in light of his recent comments on white supremacy.

King has been in hot water recently for being quoted in The New York Times as saying, “White nationalist, white supremacist, Western civilization — how did that language become offensive?”

According to The Hill, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) told reporters on Monday “that King would not receive any committee assignments for the new Congress.”

McCarthy said in a statement that King’s comments were “beneath the dignity of the Party of Lincoln and the United States of America” and that he hopes that the move “will lead to greater reflection and ultimately change on his part.”

https://twitter.com/JoePerticone/status/1084979372069711874

The Republican Jewish Coalition praised the move in a tweet:

King responded by denouncing his loss of committee assignments as “a political decision that ignores the truth”:

On Sunday, McCarthy told CBS’ Face the Nation that action would be taken against King.

King’s removal from the committees comes amidst mounting criticism from his fellow Republican, including Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), who said in a statement to The Washington Post on Monday, “I have no tolerance for such positions and those who espouse these views are not supporters of American ideals and freedom.”

“Rep. King’s statements are unwelcome and unworthy of his elected position,” McConnell continued. “If he doesn’t understand why ‘white supremacy’ is offensive, he should find another line of work.”

Anti-Defamation League CEO Jonathan Greenblatt wrote a letter to McCarthy and Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) advocating for King to be censured:

Reps. Bobby Rush (D-Ill.) and Tim Ryan (D-Ohio) are spearheading efforts to censure King.

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WATCH: Tamika Mallory Refuses to Condemn Farrakhan

Women’s March co-president Tamika Mallory refused to condemn rabid anti-Semite Louis Farrakhan in a Monday appearance on ABC’s “The View.”

The Farrakhan subject was first brought up by co-host Sunny Hostin, who asked Mallory if she thought it was “problematic” to be associated with Farrakhan and calling him “the GOAT [Greatest of All Time].”

Mallory responded by lauding Farrakhan for “what he’s done in black communities”:

“View” co-host Meghan McCain followed up by asking Mallory about Farrakhan’s myriad anti-Semitic statements.

“I don’t agree with many of Minister Farrakhan’s statements,” Mallory said.

“Specifically about Jewish people?” McCain replied.

“As I said, I don’t agree with many of Minister Farrakhan’s statements,” Mallory said.

McCain then asked if Mallory condemned them, prompting Mallory to reiterate, “I don’t agree with these statements.”

“You won’t condemn it,” McCain interjected.

Mallory replied by saying that Farrakhan’s rhetoric is “not my language.”

“It not the way that I speak, it is not the way that I organize, and I think that it is clear over the 20 years of my own personal activism, my own personal track record, who I am and that I should never be judged through the lens of a man,” Mallory said.

Mallory was widely criticized for her remarks and McCain was applauded for questioning her about Farrakhan:

https://twitter.com/Yair_Rosenberg/status/1084877325773275137

https://twitter.com/Yair_Rosenberg/status/1084881114089644032

The National Organization for Women (NOW) announced on Jan. 2 that the New Orleans Women’s March was canceled because of the anti-Semitism controversy plaguing the national Women’s March leaders; other Women’s Marches have been canceled for other reasons. Other local Women’s Marches have distanced themselves from the national leaders.

H/T: Mediaite

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Zioness Teach-In Discusses Difficulty of Being a Progressive Zionist

The Zioness Movement held a teach-in at University Synagogue on the evening Jan. 13, where a panel discussed the difficulty of being progressive Zionists.

The event started with a speech from Assemblyman Jesse Gabriel (D-Van Nuys), expressing optimism about the Jewish caucus in the California state legislature.

“For as much as conversation as there is about Jews not being welcome in progressive spaces and as much as we’ve all recoiled from what we’ve read about the Women’s March, there’s so much good stuff happening in Sacramento,” Gabriel said, pointing to the Jewish caucus’ work on various progressive causes like immigrant rights and criminal justice reform.

“We are doing this in a way where we are being present and proud of our Jewish values, proud of our support for Israel, proud of who we are and our history as a people, and I think that at this moment in time when folks are trying to push Jews out of progressive spaces, and that is an intentional thing, that our response is not to leave those spaces, but really to double down,” Gabriel said, “and to double down on the work that we’re trying to do, which we know is so consistent with our Jewish values and to be really proud of who we are.”

Arya Marvazy, managing director of JQ (Jewish Queers) International then discussed how he, as a gay Persian Zionist, has dealt with the “anti-Zionist and anti-Israel space” in the LGBTQ community.

“One of the things that they purport is that Israel, as a nation, is using this concept called ‘pinkwashing’ to make the masses feel like Israel is this beacon of light and hope for LGBTQ people… and ignore any hardship the Palestinians might face or ignore the Israel-Palestinian conflict in its entirety,” Marvazy said. “I could talk for a long time how false I believe that narrative to be, and I am surprised that even still today, how present that belief exists in queer communities that I’m a part of.”

Marvazy then recalled when he was at a gay Latino punk club in Downtown Los Angeles and a guy he was talking to outside told him, “Everyone is welcome here, everyone but Trump supporters and Zionists.”

“I just was taken aback,” Marvazy said, adding that he works “on that conversation daily.”

Rabbi Denise Eger of Congregation Kol Ami, a Zioness board member, later said that “at the Women’s Marches there’s been an increasing anti-Semitic rhetoric that we’ve seen that often comes in the guise of anti-Zionism.”

“If you want to protest the policies of the state of Israel, that’s one thing,” Eger said. “But Zionism, when you say that you’re an anti-Zionist, you are bordering on anti-Semitism because Zionism is the national political expression of the ancient longing of the Jewish soul to return to the land of our people, a longing that we have had for thousands of years.”

Eger called on progressive Zionists to “claim our space” at the Women’s March.

“But we also have to stand there proudly as Jews,” Eger said.

Emiliana Guereca, the founder of Women’s March Los Angeles, distanced the local march from the national Women’s March leaders.

“As a Jewish woman, I have seen the rhetoric of Women’s March D.C… and I apologize to everyone and my children,” Guereca said.

She added that her children ask her why she continues to organize despite the rhetoric of the national Women’s March leaders, and what she tells them is she chooses to “confront” it because the “tough conversations need to continue.”

Joanna Mendelson, the Anti-Defamation League’s (ADL) senior investigative researcher at the Center for Extremism, told the audience that 2016-17 saw “the largest single year increase” in anti-Semitism since the ADL started collecting such data and pointed to the Charlottesville riots as a big reason for that.

“The obsession with Jews is part and parcel of white supremacist ideology,” Mendelson said, adding that white supremacists fear “being consumed by a rising tide of color… manipulated by the Jews.”

Mendelson pointed to the social media posts from Tree of Life synagogue shooter Robert Bowers that frequently used the words “Jews,” “k—“ and “immigrants” as an example of this.

She then highlighted Louis Farrakhan’s “most vitriolic and hateful anti-Semitic rhetoric” and lamented his “sizable influence.”

“It is so important that we partner, that we reach out, and that we collaborate on these various issues,” Mendelson said.

Later in the program, Zioness founder Amanda Berman, who moderated the panel, explained that the point of the Zioness Movement is to provide a political home for progressive Zionists who have had their “seats at the table” in the progressive movement “taken away from us.” If progressive Zionists can’t reclaim their seats, then “we will build a new table,” Berman said.

“Even when it’s hard, we have to show up,” Berman said.

Other panelists included Valley Beth Shalom Rabbi Noah Farkas, Jewish Center for Justice founder Rabbi Joel Simonds and McCarty Memorial Church Rev. Eddie Anderson.

The full event can be seen below:

https://www.facebook.com/zionessmovement/videos/238487013744186/

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‘Mrs. Maisel’ Is The Critics’ Choice

“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” continued its winning streak Sunday night at the 24th annual Critics’ Choice Awards, picking up the three awards to add to its Emmy and Golden Globe hauls. Actresses Alex Borstein and Rachel Brosnahan picked up individual awards, while creator Amy-Sherman Palladino accepted for the show.

Funny as usual, she chided Brosnahan, who won for Critics’ Choice Television Award for Best Actress in a Comedy Series, for not thanking the critics earlier. “She’s sorry,” Sherman-Palladino apologized, then wished her mother a “happy birthday” and addressed Amazon while holding the award aloft. “The season three budget is coming to you this week, so remember this,” she warned the streaming service.

Some categories were presented off camera, which meant Borstein, Henry Winkler (“Barry”) and composer Justin Hurwitz (“First Man”) did not get to make their acceptance speeches for Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series, Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series and Best Score, respectively.

“The Americans” and “Crazy Rich Asians” were named best drama series and best movie comedy, respectively, and their Jewish producers Joe Weisberg and Joel Fields accepted for the former and Nina Jacobson, for the latter.

Producer Chuck Lorre, who currently has four series running (“The Big Bang Theory,” “Mom” and “Young Sheldon” on CBS and “The Kominsky Method” on Netflix) received the Critics’ Choice Creative Achievement Award, following a tribute by the “BBT” cast, who read from some of the end title vanity cards that Lorre is famous for.

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