May 24, 2019

How Trump Could Be Reelected

“If you go by the numbers, President Trump is in a stronger position to win reelection than Bill Clinton was at the same point in his presidency. Trump’s job approval is 46 percent in the latest NBC-Wall Street Journal poll. A Gallup poll has him with 43 percent but his handling of the economy in the mid-50s.

These are the first of what will be more wake-up calls for Democrats that Trump could get reelected. A president who doesn’t top 46 percent job approval would normally be considered a very weak contender. Democrats are haunted by the fact that Trump cobbled together an Electoral College win in 2016 after losing the popular vote by three million votes.

Democrats are in a much better position to win the White House in 2020 than Trump is to win reelection. Charlie Cook of the non-partisan Cook Report breaks down the electorate this way: 35 percent are Trump no matter what; 45 percent are Democrats who oppose Trump no matter what; and 20 percent roughly are up for grabs.”

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JJ Editor's Daily Picks

"The results were surprising. The center-right coalition, led by Prime Minister Scott Morrison, remained in power against the opposition Labor party, which had led in every poll for years."

"Anger seldom works against Trump; he owns the currency and can always issue more of it. In addressing the rogue President directly, or speaking about him in the third person, Pelosi usually adopts a tone that is more sorrowful than angry..."

"I am Mizrahi, as are the majority of Jews in Israel today. We are of Middle Eastern and North African descent. Only about 30% of Israeli Jews are Ashkenazi, or the descendants of European Jews."

"Kids are exposed to plenty of controversial social issues on a daily basis. And if parents don’t want their kids to watch “Mr. Ratburn and the Special Someone,” they can turn off the TV."

"Are public-school teachers really underpaid? It’s a claim often made during teacher pay disputes, but the same data and statistical methods that produce the “teacher salary gap” lead to some ridiculous conclusions..."

"Tech companies are getting into the business of making cities. We need to stop Silicon Valley social engineering before things get even worse."

"Having a Library or Cafe Down the Block Could Change Your Life: Living close to public amenities—from parks to grocery stores—increases trust, decreases loneliness, and restores faith in local government."

"“What name . . . shall we give to the darkness of hell...?” The question of how we can name a place such as this is at the center of scholar Scott G. Bruce’s new anthology The Penguin Book of Hell."

"She had all six of her kids — ages 5, 4, 2 (twins) and 10 months (also twins!) in her 10-seater van. To get the kids a quick snack, Curry parked in front of the Cobbler’s Café."

"Nearly three-quarters of those surveyed said they grew up typically eating dinner at a kitchen table, but a little less than half said they do so now when eating at home."

"If you tied a rope tight around the Earth’s equator and then added a single yard of slack, would the extra material make any noticeable difference to someone standing on the ground?"

"While American Jewish women face attacks on our freedom and rising anti-Semitism, abortion opponents are appropriating Jewish history in order to push an agenda that hurts women."