Kadima is in big trouble, and even if the prediction of just three mandates in a poll two weeks ago was an overstatement, the largest Israeli political party really has been bleeding mandates since joining Netanyahu’s coalition. The two most recent polls put Kadima on seven seats.
Yet Netanyahu would still have many options if elections were held today. The Kadima losses changed our coalition-tracker a little, putting the right-wing option (Likud-right-religious) and the centrist option (Likud-Kadima-Labor) at essentially the same number.
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